New Mexico Elects First Ever Female Majority Legislature; More Woman Elected To Legislative Leadership Positions; Woman Dominate State Wide Offices And Judgeships; End of “Good O’ Boy” Legislative Politics

All 112 seats in the New Mexico Legislature were on this year’s November 5, 2024 general election ballot. Members of the state Senate stand for election every 4 years while House districts are on the ballot every 2 years. Democrats hold the majority control in both chambers. Before the election, there were 45 Democrats and 25 Republicans in the New Mexico House of Representatives. Before the election, there were 27 Democrats and 15 Republicans in the New Mexico Senate. The 2025 New Mexico legislature convenes on January 21, 2025 and ends on March 22, 2025.

ELECTION RESULTS

On November 5, one Republican was elected in the NM  House but the Democrats  still retained the majority of 44 Democrats to 26 Republicans. In the NM Senate, Democrats won one seat increasing their majority to 28 Democrats to 14 Republicans. Overall, Republicans picked up 3 seats and Democrats picked up one, just slightly shifting party numbers in the Senate and House of Representatives.

NEW LEGISLATORS

There will be 28 new representatives and senators serving New Mexico in 2025.  The 42-member Senate is getting 15 new legislators, nine Republicans and six Democrats. That includes four policymakers who formerly served in the House. The 70-member House is getting 13 new legislators, seven Republicans and six Democrats. Republicans picked up a few seats in the election, shifting the Democratic majority to a margin of 26 to 16 in the Senate and 44 to 26 in the House.

The 2024 newly elected New Mexico State Senators are:

  • District 2: Steve Lanier, R-Aztec
  • District 9: Cindy Nava, D-Bernalillo
  • District 12: Jay Block, R-Rio Rancho
  • District 13: Debbie O’Malley, D-Albuquerque
  • District 15: Heather Berghmans, D-Albuquerque
  • District 18: Natalie Figueroa, D-Albuquerque
  • District 19: Ant Thornton, R-Sandia Park
  • District 21: Nicole Tobiassen, R-Albuquerque
  • District 24: Linda Trujillo, D-Santa Fe
  • District 27: Patrick Henry Boone IV, R-Elida
  • District 28: Gabriel Ramos, R-Silver City
  • District 30: Angel Charley, D-Acoma
  • District 32: Candy Spence Ezzell, R-Roswell
  • District 34: James Townsend, R-Artesia
  • District 42: Larry Scott, R-Hobbs

The 2024 newly  elected New Mexico State  Representatives are:

  • District 3: William Hall, R-Aztec
  • District 4: Joseph Hernandez, D-Shiprock
  • District 18: Marianna Anaya, D-Albuquerque
  • District 30: Elizabeth Diane Torres-Velasquez, D-Albuquerque
  • District 31: Nicole Chavez, R-Albuquerque
  • District 38: Rebecca Dow, R-Truth or Consequences
  • District 53: Sarah Silva, D-Las Cruces
  • District 54: Jonathan Allen Henry, R-Artesia
  • District 57: Catherine Cullen, R-Rio Rancho (potential vote recount)
  • District 58: Angelita Mejia, R-Dexter
  • District 62: Elaine Sena Cortez, R-Hobbs
  • District 69: Michelle Abeyta, D-Tohajiilee
  • District 70: Anita Amalia Gonzales, D-Las Vegas

https://www.abqjournal.com/election/new-mexico-here-are-your-28-new-senators-and-representatives/article_8461c084-a20a-11ef-8ec1-1790e29e03f2.html

The link to review the results of contested House and Senate legislative races is here:

https://electionresults.sos.nm.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=LGX&map=CTY

Election Day did not change the overall makeup of the New Mexico legislature when it comes to the raw numbers. Democrats entered Election Day with a 27-15 majority in the Senate and a 45 to 25 majority in the House. They left with a margin of 26-16 majority in the Senate and a 44 to 26 majority in the House. Republicans chipped into the Democratic majorities, but in Bernalillo County Democrats did well  meaning that Democrats will still enjoy large majorities in both chambers. Republicans, meanwhile, gained seats in rural areas.

LEADERSHIP REACT

Santa Fe area Senate Majority Floor Leader Peter Wirth said that the Senate Democrats are very happy with the results of the election, which was the first for the Senate since redistricting. He pointed out that all Democratic Senate incumbents won their races.  The chamber will now have 6 new women: Angel Charley, Linda Trujillo, Cindy Nava, Debbie O’Malley, Natalie Figueroa and Heather Berghmans.  Wirth said this:

“While we lost one seat, our 26-16 majority is strong.”

Republican House Minority Floor Leader Rod Montoya of Farmington said in a statement that Republicans had hoped for more success and said this:

“We are proud of our wins, including defending several very competitive seats. Voters are waking up to the inadequacy of Democrat one-party control in New Mexico and are ready for change”.

A MAJORITY OF WOMEN

Despite the raw tally of Democrats and Republicans, history was made.  For the first time ever, the New Mexico Legislature is made up of a majority of women.  A total of 11 additional women, both Democrats and Republicans, were added to the 112-member Legislature. Female State Senators will still hold a minority of seats in that chamber with 16 out of 42.

Based the election results, women will now hold 60 of the 112 seats in the New Mexico Legislature come January 21, 2025 when the legislature convenes. Female lawmakers will make up 44 of the 70 members in the state House of Representative, and 16 of the 42 seats in the Senate.  Of the 60 women elected to serve in the Legislature, 46 are Democrats and 14 are Republicans.

According to the Center for American Women in Politics, which tracks women in elected public office, New Mexico is  the third state to achieve a female-majority after Nevada and Arizona and the 3 states are  projected to be joined by Colorado in this milestone in their next sessions.  Kelly Dittmar, director of research at Rutgers University’s Center for American Women and Politics said this:

“This achievement demonstrates that women are not only running but also winning office at higher numbers and that they are normalizing their presence in political institutions.”

The share of women in all state legislatures combined roughly tripled from about 11% in 1980 to 33% going into the November election, when women held 2,424 seats nationwide.

Senator-elect Angel Charley’s win flipped Senate District 30 blue. She ran unopposed. The seat was previously held by Republican Senator Joshua Sanchez, who will still remain in legislature.  Sanchez won the seat to serve as senator for District 29 after the most recent round of redistricting placed him in a different district. The outgoing Republican holding SD 29 is Minority Floor Leader Rep. Gregory Baca, who did not seek reelection.

Senator-elect Angel Charley, who will represent Laguna/Zuni/Diné communities, never has run for office before but she had done a lot of advocacy work as the director of the Coalition to Stop Violence Against Native Women. She did not realize her win was the only “red-to-blue” election result.  Senator Elect Charly commented on being party of  a majority female Legislature by saying this:

“New Mexico is a great place for leading and championing change, and so I’m just so proud to be a part of this new way forward.”

There were other legislative seats that changed parties in the 42-member Senate.  Democratic Senator Gerald Ortiz y Pino of Albuquerque retired from the Senate giving the Republicans the opportunity to elect a Republican. Republican Jay Block won Senate District 12, which Senator Gerald Ortiz y Pino represented before he retired and the Albuquerque-area seat was heavily redrawn in redistricting in 2021.

Republican Gabriel Ramos won Senate District 28, which covers parts of Silver City, Lordsburg and Deming.  Democrat Senator Correa Hemphill, used to represent that area but stepped down after the June primary.  Ramos previously held the seat, from 2019-2020, but as a Democrat.

Only one seat flipped in the 70-member House of Representatives. Democrat Representative Tara Jaramillo was the only incumbent legislator to lose her seat. Republican Rebecca Dow was elected to serve House District 38 again. From 2017-2022, Dow served District 38, but stepped down to run for governor. She was unsuccessful in garnering the Republican nomination in the 2022 gubernatorial election which was won by Republican Mark Ronchetti who went on to lose to Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham.

Both Democratic Representatives Nathan Small of Las Cruces and Carrie Hamblen of Las Cruces had close elections. However, after the votes were all tallied, the incumbent legislators both kept their seats, each by a few hundred votes.

MORE WOMEN ELECTED TO HOUSE LEGISLATIVE LEADERSHIP POSITIONS

It is up to the parties in their respective chambers to nominate leadership before the coming 60-day Legislature, which the full floors need to approve as well.

Woman are among the new leaders in the New Mexico House of Representatives with leadership positions on both sides of the aisle come January. House Democrats on  November 16 picked Reena Szczepanski of Santa Fe as the new majority floor leader while House Republicans selected Gail Armstrong of Magdalena as their new floor leader.  The elections of Szczepanski and Armstrong will mark the first time women have held their respective caucus floor leader positions at the same time in New Mexico state House history.

Both House caucuses also picked whips for the next two years, who are primarily tasked with lining up votes on key bills. Rep. Dayan Hochman-Vigil of Albuquerque is the new House Democratic whip, while Rep. Alan Martinez of Bernalillo retained the position for House Republicans. Rep.-elect Rebecca Dow, R-Truth or Consequences was elected  the House GOP caucus chairwoman, while Rep. Raymundo “Ray” Lara of Chamberino will hold the caucus chairman position for House Democrats.

Democrats also nominated Javier Martínez of Albuquerque to keep his influential post as Speaker of the House, though the entire 70-member chamber will vote on that position on the opening day of the legislative session in January.

Nothing change with respect to more woman being elected to leadership positions in the New Mexico State Senate. On November 16, the Senate Democratic Caucus kept the same leadership for the next two years with Sen. Peter Wirth again chosen as Majority Leader, Sen. Michael Padilla as Majority Whip and Sen. Mimi Stewart as President Pro Tem which will be voted on by the full Senate in January. Sen. Leo Jaramillo was picked as Senate Majority Caucus Chair.

https://www.abqjournal.com/news/article_a3228c60-a37c-11ef-91ea-b70cb80dfcb0.html

ONE DEMOCRAT AND ONE REPUBLICAN STANDOUT

Incoming female legislators include a Republican advocate for crime victims, Republican Nicole Chavez, and Democrat Heather Bergman.  One  defeated a male in the general election and the other defeated a male in the primary.

Democrat Berghmans, 36, defeated longtime incumbent State Senator Daniel Ivey Soto who was accused of sexual harassment by a lobbyist. Berghmans said people in her district appeared eager to hear from a new generation of female candidates. She will join the Senate as its youngest member after winning 60% of the general election vote. Berghmans  campaigned on solutions to surging homelessness and the housing affordability crisis. Berghmans said this

“I did hear a lot of people at the doors who told me to my face that they were willing to vote for me just because I was a young woman. … I think that people are excited to see new ideas and new faces and that women have been the ones to step up to run.”

Republican Chavez has been a prominent advocate for crime victims at the Legislature. In  2015 her eldest son Jaydon, then a high school senior and football team captain who had been accepted to the Air Force Academy, was shot and killed during the commission of a crime.  Chavez said she was motivated to do legislative work directly, campaigning for enhanced criminal penalties and financial incentives for businesses that train and hire people as they leave incarceration to address recidivism.

Chavez won her state House seat in Northeast Heights affluent Albuquerque neighborhood district.  Chavez is the sales director at a Medicare provider.  She expressed pride in contributing to the new female legislative majority and she is her district’s first Latina legislator-elect. Chavez a said she campaigned to ensure a diversity of political values in preserving her party’s control of the only Republican-held House district in Albuquerque, amid a growing urban-rural partisan divide.  Chavez said this:

“I don’t believe in just recruiting women,” she said. “I think we should have diversity of all values.”

The link to a quoted and relied upon news story is here:

https://apnews.com/article/female-legislature-new-mexico-majority-ecf633cb46d6ae126ae7813772783434

https://nmpoliticalreport.com/news/democrats-maintain-majorities-in-state-house-senate/

https://www.kunm.org/kunm-news-update/2024-11-07/thurs-democrats-retain-hold-on-new-mexico-despite-shifting-support-for-republicans-more

https://www.abqjournal.com/election/first-time-in-history-nm-gets-female-majority-legislature/article_89081042-9c75-11ef-b942-ffbe9521a77d.html

https://www.abqjournal.com/article_6b429d3a-a5f7-11ef-ae13-4f5846ced2a1.html#tncms-source=home-featured-7-block

November 6, Source NM article entitled  “Republicans gain 1 state House seat and 1 Senate seat, but Dems still have big majority.”

WOMAN ELECTED TO EXECUTIVE AND JUDICIAL POSITIONS

The New Mexico Legislature being made up of a majority of women is a clear counterpoint to the national  defeat of Vice President Kamala Harris  to former President Donald Trump. However, some comfort can be taken in the fact that Vice President Harris defeated former President Donald Trump in New Mexico 51.64% to  46.07%.

In the state’s Congressional Delegation, two out of 3 of the States members of the United State House of Representative are woman, District 1 Democratic Melanie Stansbury and District 3 Democratic Teresa Leger Fernandez. It was only 4 years ago  when all 3 of the state’s members of the United State House of Representative were woman. A woman has yet to be elected United States Senate from New Mexico, but that may come sooner rather than later if Senator Martin Heinrich decides to run for Governor. Women still only make up just 25% of the U.S. Senate and just under 30% of the U.S. House.

Women in New Mexico dominate the top positions of state government. New Mexico has elected two female Governors consecutively, both to two consecutive 4 year terms, Republican Susana Martinez and Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham, for a total of 16 years. It is said that  Democrat Interior Secretary Debra Haaland will be running for New Mexico Governor in 2026 and there is little doubt if she does run she will be the front runner for the Democratic nomination. It is also being said that 2024 Republican US Senate nominee Nella Domenici who  was defeated for US Senate by Martin Heinrich may also be eyeing running for Governor in 2026.  Women also hold other statewide elected offices. Those women elected and now serving are Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver, New Mexico State Treasurer Laura M. Montoya and State Public Land Commissioner Stephanie Garcia Richard.

Woman also dominate the Judiciary at many levels. Three seats out of five on the New Mexico Supreme Court are held by women.  Seven seats out of 10 on the New Mexico Court of Appeals are held by woman. 17 out of 30 Second Judicial District Court Judges in Bernalillo County are woman.  Five  out of 10 District Court Judge in the First Judicial District Court in Santa Fe are women and 16 out of 19 Bernalillo County Metropolitan Court Judges are woman.  Four out of 13 elected District Attorneys in the state are women.

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

The 2025 New Mexico Legislature, because it has a majority of women, will likely be looking at far more issues important to women and in a much different way.  Incoming House Democratic majority leader  State Rep. Reena Szczepanski, District 47 put it this way:

“Women bring our own unique life experiences with us into public office, like all public servants. More women in government means more leaders who know what it’s like to balance work and family and who bring real understanding of issues that families care about most, like the economy and public education.  Our Legislature is now more reflective of the state we serve, and the diversity of opinion and life experience has helped us enormously.”

Incoming Democrat Sarah Silva, House District 58, says she hopes the Legislature will move to “protect vulnerable populations in a Trump Administration.” She’s particularly concerned with pocketbook issues and said this:

“Inflation, paying rent on time, what a Social Security check covers: all these things that women are used to doing because that’s how we run our households, how we budget for our families long term … So, I think many women across lines and family structures do play to those strengths.”

Republican Representative Andrea Reeb, District 64, hopes that women will help protect girls in an era of transgender women looking to compete in sports. Reeb said this:

“The primary difference between the way that women and men govern is that we, [the] lady legislators,  are asked to explain how our biological differences will impact our governing. … Don’t get me wrong, I’m glad we’re talking about biology.  It’s past time. For far too long, the one-party-ruled Legislature has ignored the biological differences between men and women in sports and other areas. I hope to see a female majority take action to protect female-only spaces and defend hard-earned female accomplishments.”

The link to the quoted and relied upon news source is here:

https://www.abqjournal.com/article_6b429d3a-a5f7-11ef-ae13-4f5846ced2a1.html#tncms-source=home-featured-7-block

New Mexico politics has been very good to woman, and in return the entire state of New Mexico has benefited immensely, both in the executive branch and the judicial branch of government.  Now that New Mexico has a majority-female state Legislature for the first time in its history, there is no doubt political pundits will be watching to see what, if anything, is different because of the breaking of the glass ceiling. One thing that is very different that is for certain is that the “good o’ boy” politics that has  plagued the New Mexico legislature for so many decades may have finally come to a fitting end with woman defeating male incumbents.

ABQ Journal Dinelli Guest Column “City’s Shelter Investment Leaves Root Causes Of Homeless Unaddressed”; City Guest Column “Winter Sheltering Plan Officers Homeless Immediate Support”

On Sunday, November 17 the Albuquerque Journal published two very different guest columns that offer two distinct observations on how the Mayor Tim Keller Administration is dealing with the city’s homeless crisis.  One deals with the astonishing amount of city financing spent on the homeless without making a dent in the root causes of the problem. The second deals with the immediate shelter being offered to the homeless for winter support. Following are the guest columns:

HEADLINE: “City’s Shelter Investment Leaves Root Causes Of Homeless Unaddressed” BY PETE DINELLI, Albuquerque resident and a former Chief Public safety Officer, former Chief Deputy District Attorney and former Albuquerque City Councilor

“Mayor Tim Keller addressed NAIOP, the city’s most influential business organization consisting of developers, investors and contractors.  Keller started his remarks by describing what he sees on his walk to work from his West Downtown home located in the Albuquerque Country Club area.  Keller told the audience this:

“We all know what’s happening now. I see homelessness. I see vagrants. I see broken windows all over our city. … All of the challenges we’re facing, I absolutely feel. I feel them and I see them. … I just want to make it abundantly clear that we are in this together. I don’t know anyone in Albuquerque who doesn’t have the same stories I just shared.  … This, by far and away, is our biggest challenge. This is a generational challenge for America; it also is absolutely for Albuquerque.  … This is the challenge of our lifetime.”

Mayor Keller proclaims the city has 5,000 homeless.  Keller almost doubles the figure submitted to the federal government for funding in the annual Point In Time survey.  The total count of PERSONS determined experiencing homelessness in Albuquerque on January 29, 2024 is 2,740 reported in 3 categories:

  • Emergency Shelters: 1,289
  • Transitional Housing: 220
  • Unsheltered: 1,231

Every time the PIT is released, the city and service providers always proclaim it is a massive undercount of the homeless population.  Some argue that the city’s homeless numbers are as high as 9,000 to support demands for more and more funding. Government and charitable homeless providers are motivated to make claims that the numbers are much greater when federal funding is at stake.

Keller has announced a total of 5 facilities to deal with the homeless that is intended to be operated as an integrated system:

The Gibson Gateway shelter

The Gateway West shelter

The Family Gateway shelter

The Youth Homeless shelter

The Recovery shelter

The two biggest shelters are the Gibson Gateway and the Gateway West.  The Loveless Gibson Medical Center was purchased for $15 million, and the city has spent upwards of $90 million to renovate it. Gateway West provides 450 beds and Gibson Gateway when remodeling is completed is intended to assist upwards of 1,000 homeless and accommodate at least 330 nightly. 

According to the City budgets for the years 2021 to 2024, the Keller administration has spent a staggering $200,000,000, or upwards of $60 Million a year, to operate shelters and provide homeless services. Mayor Keller is throwing millions at temporary shelter as he fails to make a dent on the underlying causes of crime, mental health and drug addiction.

Given the numbers in the 2024 PIT report and the millions being spent on the homeless crisis it should be manageable. Yet the crisis only gets worse and worse each year and it is a continuing major drain on city resources. During the past few years, the unhoused have become far more dispersed throughout the city thanks to Keller. The unhoused are more aggressive, camping where they want and for how long as they want.

Unhoused who have no interest in any offers of shelter, beds, motel vouchers or alternatives to living on the street force the city to make it totally inconvenient for them to “squat” anywhere they want and must force them to move on. After repeated attempts to reason with them to move on, citations and arrests are in order. Until the problem is solved, the public perception will be that very little to no progress has been made despite millions spent to deal with what Keller proclaims as the “challenge of our lifetime.”

The link to the Albuquerque Journal guest column with photos is here:

https://www.abqjournal.com/opinion/article_e4249ce2-959b-11ef-a986-c3f651f4e406.html

EDITORS NOTE: The above Dinelli guest column published is a highly condensed version of the Dinelli blog article entitled “Mayor Tim Keller Creates 5 Separate Gateway Shelters To Deal With “Challenge Of Our Lifetime”; City’s $200 Million Financial Commitment To Unhoused; Keller Embellishes By Doubling Unhoused Numbers As He  Fails To Deal With Those Who Refuse Services And Getting Them Off Streets”  which was published on October 11, 2024 with the link to that article provided in the POSTSCRIPT below.

HEADLINE “Winter Sheltering Plan Officers Homeless Immediate Support” BY Gilbert Ramirez, Director of the City of the city’s Health, Housing and Homelessness Department and Jodie Esquibel, Director of the city’s Albuquerque Community Safety Department

“Colder weather is settling into the Metro, and the city of Albuquerque is ready with our revitalized Winter Sheltering Plan.

Winter is an extremely challenging time for our unsheltered community, and we want the most vulnerable in our city to know that there are resources and support available.

The goal of our Winter Sheltering Plan is to assist as many people as possible. It’s important to remember that shelter, like any resource, is a choice, and people have the right to refuse. Even so, first responders from Albuquerque Community Safety will continue to offer shelter beds and other resources to all unsheltered residents because one day, like we’ve seen many times before, their answer could be “yes.”

Beds are available. This year, we launched the Shelter Connect Dashboard to track available shelter beds throughout the city. The dashboard is available to the public and is a tool for us to help get folks indoors. ACS will once again operate its emergency, after-hours transportation service to shelters between 8 p.m. and 7 a.m. Community members can call (505) 418-6178 to request transportation.

This year, ACS can transport individuals to the new First Responder Receiving area at the Gateway Center during the overnight hours, getting people inside, warm and safe.

The city’s Department of Health, Housing and Homelessness will activate winter sheltering protocols when outdoor temperatures are freezing, which can put individuals at risk of cold-related injuries such as frostbite and hypothermia. An emergency alert on the city’s website will signal that plan is in effect.

Once the alert is activated, the first step is to expand Gateway West’s capacity by 30 beds. Gateway West is the city’s largest shelter and is undergoing dramatic upgrades. To date, six dorms have been renovated with new flooring, more comfortable beds with secure under-bed storage, and updated bathrooms.

Step two is activating additional emergency sheltering at the First Responder Receiving area at Gateway Center. The Receiving Area opened in June and has already been successful in providing shelter and connection to resources. As of Nov. 1, the First Responder Receiving area has served 234 individuals. This space will help provide shelter and address immediate needs.

If needed, additional sheltering can be added at again at Gateway West, as well as multi-generational and community centers, to get folk off the streets.

In August, Mayor Tim Keller introduced the city’s Metro Homelessness Initiative, an all-in, multi-faceted approach to addressing the challenges of homelessness, acknowledging that no one entity can take it all on by themselves. Throughout the winter, we will work closely with our community partners, including day shelters, to help meet the need of those experiencing homelessness.

On the coldest days of the year, we are “all hands on deck” when it comes to helping our unhoused community. Our Winter Sheltering Plan leverages every resource, big and small, to make the most significant impact possible, at a time when it is needed most.”

The link to the Albuquerque Journal guest column with photos is here:

https://www.abqjournal.com/opinion/article_63b00138-a210-11ef-ac23-bbc37511099d.html

POSTSCRIPT

Below are links to three related articles providing a detailed elaboration on the City’s Gateway Shelters, the proposed changes to its “Homeless Encampment Removal” policy and the City’s “Shelter Connect Dashboard”: 

Mayor Tim Keller Creates 5 Separate Gateway Shelters To Deal With “Challenge Of Our Lifetime”; City’s $200 Million Financial Commitment To Unhoused; Keller Embellishes By Doubling Unhoused Numbers As He  Fails To Deal With Those Who Refuse Services And Getting Them Off Streets

City Revising Removal Of Homeless Encampment Policy; South Central And International District Area New Target  For Clean Ups; Action Long Overdue To Enforce Existing City Ordinances

 

City Creates “Shelter Connect Dashboard” Identifying Unhoused Shelter During Winter Months; City’s Unsheltered Data Breakdown; City’s Financial Commitment To The Unhoused; Given City’s Commitment To Homeless, Crisis Should Be Manageable But Has Only Gotten Worse Under Mayor Tim Keller

City Creates “Shelter Connect Dashboard” Identifying Unhoused Shelter During Winter Months; City’s Unsheltered Data Breakdown; City’s Financial Commitment To The Unhoused; Given City’s Commitment To Homeless, Crisis Should Be Manageable But Has Only Gotten Worse Under Mayor Tim Keller

With the Fall and Winter months now here, along with significant drops in temperatures, the City of Albuquerque is preparing to help the unhoused with shelter and keep them safe. At a November 1 press conference, Mayor Tim Keller and City leaders outlined their plans for cold weather to get the unhoused into shelters.

As part of the Metro Homelessness Initiative (MHI), the City created a new “Shelter Connect Dashboard” to help connect people experiencing homelessness to get into shelters. The push to connect people with shelters and resources during the winter months is a joint effort between the Albuquerque Community Safety (ACS) Department, the Albuquerque Fire Rescue Department (AFRD) and the Health, Housing, and Homelessness Department (HHHD).

The Shelter Connect Dashboard is an online program that provides a city map with the locations of all 9 city shelters operated by the city itself or operated with a city partner as well as the 2 private charitable shelters. For each shelter, the Shelter Connect Dashboard lists the total number of beds at the shelter, the current occupancy level, the total number occupied and available beds and the breakdown of beds available for male, female and couple occupancy.

The 9 City Shelters operated by the city itself or with partners are:

  1. The Gateway West (the renovated Westside Jail): 630 Total Beds.
  2. The Gibson Gateway Center (the remodeled Lovelace Hospital): 50 total beds.
  3. The Family Gateway Center: 65 total beds.
  4. Berrett Foundation: 19 total beds.
  5. Good Shepherd: 35 total beds.
  6. HH – Albuquerque Opportunity Center: 57 beds.
  7. Safe House: 50 beds.
  8. YDI Amistad:16 beds.
  9. Gateway First Responder Receiving Area: 10 beds.

TOTAL: 932

The two private charitable organization run shelters are:

  1. Joy Junction: 290 beds.
  2. Steel Bridge: 77 beds

TOTAL: 367

COMBINED TOTAL: 1,299

City officials claim that there are 5,000 people without shelter in Albuquerque. The total number of beds featured on the dashboard is 1,299.  The city of Albuquerque is hoping the dashboard’s guidance will help keep some of the city’s  estimated 5,000 unhoused residents off the street during difficult winter nights. As of November 14, the dashboard listed  250     available beds out of 1,284 total beds with 1,034 beds occupied.

The link to Shelter Connect Dashboard providing current occupancy and availability of beds is here:

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/dashboards/417f1dfbbecf48a5a4efc2ac114591c5

The new Shelter Connect Dashboard  will show first responders where shelter beds are available throughout the city. The City says it will add winter sheltering capacity at Gateway West and the First Responder Receiving Area if additional beds are needed. The City says it will provide a warm bed to anyone experiencing homelessness.

To help get people inside, Albuquerque Community Safety (ACS) Department will operate its emergency, after-hours transportation service. Between 8 p.m. and 7 a.m., the public can call (505) 418-6178 to request transportation. ACS will give people a ride to the First Responder Receiving Area at the Gateway Center to have a warm bed for the night. Folks will then get connected to longer-term shelter and services.

OUTDOOR FIRES

Throughout the winter months, there is an increase in dangerous outdoor fires started by the homeless. To mitigate the risk to life and property, AFR’s Outside Fire Response Truck will begin operations this month, much earlier than past years. When Firefighters extinguish campfires, people will be offered connection to shelter through ACS. For anyone who wishes to remain outdoors, this year, the Outside Fire Response Team will be equipped with blankets and coats to distribute to individuals. AFR encourages anyone who sees fire activity to call 911.

Deputy Fire Chief Jimmy Melek said this:

“Outside temperatures are dropping, and AFR crews are already starting to see an increase in the number of outside fires. … Preparations are already underway to get our outside fire response truck in service. It is expected to be in service in the next few weeks. Last year the truck responded to over 1700 outside fire calls from late December through mid-April.”

During the November 1 news conference, Fire Rescue Chief Emily Jaramillo encouraged residents to call about any outdoor fires and said this:

“We have a directive that we extinguish every outside fire that we respond to, and that can be a challenge for firefighters, because firefighters are also very compassionate folks, and so when it’s really cold outside and we’re asking or we’re extinguishing a fire that’s being used to warm. …This is why we’re very excited that we now have our sister department, ACS, that we can call out, and they can provide transport to shelter for those individuals that can no longer stay warm.”

AFRD will also pass out jackets or blankets to unhoused residents whose fires it extinguishes. Anyone who has donations can call 505-768-2860 to schedule a pickup or drop-off time.

The link to the quoted and relied upon news sources are  here:

https://www.cabq.gov/health-housing-homelessness/news/winter-is-coming-and-city-is-ready-to-help-1

KELLER ADMINISTRATION ELABERATES ON EFFORTS

Mayor Tim Keller said this at the press conference:

“[The Shelter Connect Dashboard] does not necessarily include every private shelter. We acknowledge that, but these are the ones that we’re tracking. And as you can see … we have some beds available, so we’re gonna be using that to determine whether or not we need to do literal emergency shelters and community centers”.

“I just want to be really clear for the public and …there’s a bed available for people to sleep. They do not have to be on the street. Now we understand they may make choices — that’s a different thing — but that bed is available. … They do not have to be on the street.”

Health, Housing, and Homelessness Director Gilbert Ramirez said this about the Dashboard:

“A couple of things I really wanted to make sure happened this year is that we had an outward-facing document to the public that you’re going to see here that’s on our webpage that shows what is our plan and how are we doing that integrating new services that came online this year. We’re definitely leveraging our ability to use technology.”

“We are committed to minimizing health risks and providing critical sheltering resources to our community’s most vulnerable during extreme cold.  Through our plan and protocols, we are prepared to provide an appropriate response that meets the needs of our unsheltered community.” 

Albuquerque Community Safety Director Jodie Esquibel said this in a statement:

“ACS is committed to ensuring that no one is left out in the cold. Our team is on the ground, ready to transport those in need to a safe place, no matter the hour. This is a critical part of our mission to provide compassionate, community-centered care during the harshest conditions.”

OTHERS REACT

Anami Dass, a local human rights advocate, hopes that the changes to the city’s winter procedures are followed by all the involved departments. Dass said this:

“Last winter the city removed thousands of encampments during the sweeps, meaning that the city confiscated their tents, coats, sleeping bags, along with everything else. …  This year, AFR, HHH, ACS, and Animal Welfare will be stepping up to do right by people experiencing homelessness.  Hopefully Solid Waste, APD, and Metro/Transit Security see that and follow their lead. … I’d hate to see AFR’s hard work go to waste because another department decides to throw everything away.”

Christine Barber, executive director of AsUR, an advocacy group for women living on the streets, doesn’t think the added dashboard does enough.  Barber pointed out that two of the shelters listed, Good Shepherd and Albuquerque Opportunity Center,  are male-only shelters, that Safe House is only for domestic violence survivors and that other shelters listed are not set up to be emergency shelters.  Barber said this:

“This whole thing is, it’s all a shadow game; it’s very misleading. It’s very confusing. …Nothing has changed. It’s still exactly as it was. And all of these places, you still have to get a referral. This is not a thing that is as simple as they’re making it.”

Three of the nine shelters listed, the Gateway First Responder Receiving Area, the Family Gateway and the Gateway West,  are part of the city’s Gateway system of shelters and services. Gateway West has the most available beds and has undergone some recent renovations.

However, Barber doubts that Gateway West, a shelter 30 minutes by car from the city’s core, where the dashboard listed 97 of the 265 available beds Friday, is safe despite the Keller and Ramirez saying that it now is.  Barber said this:

“This isn’t a place that anybody wants to stay, so I’m really confused about all of this. To tell you the truth, I think that there’s a lot of questions that need to be answered about the dashboard and about exactly what’s happening with sites.”

https://www.abqjournal.com/news/government/they-do-not-have-to-be-on-the-street-can-a-dashboard-bring-shelter-to/article_6ef081ba-97a4-11ef-9e8c-bbe25651713d.html#tncms-source=home-featured-7-block

ALBUQUERQUE UNSHELTERED DATA BREAKDOWN

Mayor Tim Keller and City officials repeatedly say the city has 5,000 homeless but never fully articulate sources for the statistics. The blunt  reality is there is an embellishment of  the figures by more than doubling an official count by Keller and city officials.

On July 31, the New Mexico Coalition to End Homelessness released the 2024 Point-In-Time (PIT) Report for the numbers of unhoused in Albuquerque and in the balance of the state. The PIT count is the official number of homeless reported by communities to the federal Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) to receive federal funding and to help understand the extent of homelessness at the city, state, regional and national levels.

The raw data breakdown of Albuquerque’s homeless contained in the 2023 Point In Time Survey is as follows:

HOUSEHOLDS COUNTED IN ALBUQUERQUE

The total count of HOUSEHOLDS experiencing homelessness in Albuquerque on January 29, 2024 was 2,248. (Households include those with or without children or only children.)  The breakdown is as follows:

  • Emergency Shelters: 1,018
  • Transitional Housing: 174
  • Unsheltered: 1,056

TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS: 2,248

PERSONS COUNTED IN ALBUQUERQUE

The total count of PERSONS experiencing homelessness in Albuquerque on January 29, 2024 was 2,740 broken down in 3 categories.

  • Emergency Shelters: 1,289
  • Transitional Housing: 220
  • Unsheltered: 1,231

TOTAL PERSONS: 2,740

ALBUQUERQUE’S 2009 TO 2024 STATISTICS

Total number of PEOPLE counted during the Albuquerque Point-in-Time counts from 2009 to 2024 to establish a graphic trend line for the period are as follows:

  • 2009: 2,002
  • 2011: 1,639
  • 2013: 1,171
  • 2015: 1,287
  • 2017: 1,318
  • 2019: 1,524
  • 2021: 1,567
  • 2022: 1,311
  • 2023: 2,394
  • 2024: 2,740

 HISTORY OF ALBUQUERQUE’S EMERGENCY SHELTER COUNT

The 2024 PIT report contains the count of the number of people residing in EMERGENCY SHELTER in Albuquerque during the PIT Counts for the years 2011-2024.  Following are those numbers:

  • 2011: 658
  • 2012:  621
  • 2013: 619
  • 2014: 614
  • 2015: 659
  • 2016: 674
  • 2017: 706
  • 2018: 711
  • 2019: 735
  • 2020: 808
  • 2021: 940
  • 2022: 940
  • 2023: 1,125
  • 2024: 1,289

The link to review the entire 62-page 2024 PIT report is here:

 https://www.nmceh.org/_files/ugd/ad7ad8_4e2a2906787e4ca19853b9c7945a4dc9

CITY’S FINANCIAL COMMITMENT TO THE UNHOUSED

Originally, it was the city’s Family Community Services Department (FCS) Department that provided assistance to the homeless.  In fiscal year 2021-2022, the department spent $35,145,851 on homeless initiatives.  In 2022-2023 fiscal year the department spent $59,498,915 on homeless initiatives. On June 23, 2022 Mayor Tim Keller announced that the city was adding $48 million to the FY23 budget to address housing and homelessness issues in Albuquerque.  Key appropriations included in the $48 million were as follows:

  • $20.7 million for affordable and supportive housing   
  • $1.5 million for improvements to the Westside Emergency Housing Center
  • $4 million to expand the Wellness Hotel Program
  • $7 million for a youth shelter
  • $6.8 million for medical respite and sobering centers
  • $7 million for Gateway Phases I and II, and improvements to the Gibson Gateway Shelter facility
  • $555,000 for services including mental health and food insecurity prevention

The link to the quoted source is here:

https://www.cabq.gov/family/news/mayor-keller-signs-off-on-major-housing-and-homelessness-investments

Effective July 1, 2024, the Family and Community Services Department was split to create two departments:  Health, Housing and Homelessness (HHH)  and the Youth and Family Services (YFS). The Health, Housing and Homelessness Department (HHH) provides a range of services to the unhoused. The services offered by the department directly or by contract with community providers include:

  • Behavioral health services, which encompass mental health and substance abuse treatment and prevention.
  • Homeless services.
  • Domestic violence support.
  • Health care.
  • Gang/violence intervention and prevention.
  • Public health services.
  • Rental assistance and affordable housing developments.

HHH also operates four Health and Social Service Centers and the HHH department employs upwards of 100 full time employees.

The enacted FY/25 General Fund budget for the HHH Department is $52.2 million, which includes $48 million for strategic support, health and human services, affordable housing, mental health services, emergency shelter, homeless support services, Gibson Health HUB operating, and substance use services from Family and Community Services Department, and $4.2 million for a move of Gibson Health HUB maintenance division form General Service Department.

The HHH departments FY/25 budget which began on July 1, 20224 includes:

  • $13.3 million of FY/24 one-time funding transferred from Family and Community Services, including $265 thousand for strategic support,
  • $110 thousand for health and human services,
  • $8.5 million for affordable housing,
  • $1.5 million for mental health services,
  • $1.2 million for emergency shelter,
  • $200 thousand for substance use services,
  • $1 million for homeless support services and $500 thousand for the Gateway Phase 1 and Engagement Center at Gibson Health Hub.

The FY/25 HHH Department budget increases recurring funding of $250 thousand for Family Housing Navigation Center/Shelter (Wellness-2), and recurring funding of $250 thousand for Gibson Health HUB maintenance. The proposed budget adjusts program appropriations of $776 thousand in FY/25 based on projected savings.

The Gateway Homeless shelter on Gibson, the city’s one-stop shop for shelter, housing and employment services, has been appropriated $10.7 million in total funding fiscal year 2025.

The Westside Emergency Housing Center was appropriated $1.5 million.

The proposed budget includes $8 million in one-time funding for supportive housing and voucher programs, plus $100,000 for emergency housing vouchers for victims of domestic violence.

Other major budget highlights for the homelessness, housing and behavioral health include the following:

  • $900,000 nonrecurring to fully fund the Assisted Outpatient Treatment program.
  • $730,000 in recurring funding for operation of the Medical Sobering Center at the Gateway Shelter.
  • $100,000 nonrecurring for emergency housing vouchers for victims of domestic violence.
  • “Full funding”for service contracts for mental health, substance abuse, early intervention and prevention programs, domestic violence shelters and services, sexual assault services, health and social service providers, and services to abused, neglected, and abandoned youth.
  • $1.5 million in recurring funding for the Medical Respite facility at the  Gateway Center.
  • $100,000 nonrecurring for the development of a technology system that enables the city and providers to coordinate on the provision of social services to people experiencing homelessness and behavioral health challenges.
  • $500,000 nonrecurring to fund Albuquerque Street Connect. According to the mayor’s office, Street Connect is a “proven program” that focuses on establishing ongoing relationships with people experiencing homelessness to help them into supportive housing.

You can review all city hall department budgets at this link: 

Click to access fy24-proposed-web-version.pdf

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

Since becoming Mayor in 2017, Mayor Tim Keller has made the homeless his top priority second only to public safety. During the past 7 years of his tenure , the city has established two 24/7 homeless shelters, including purchasing the Loveless Gibson Medical Center for $15 million to convert it into a homeless shelter. The Keller administration  has spent upwards of $90 million to renovate it.

The city is funding and operating 2 major shelters for the homeless, one fully operational with 450 beds and one when once remodeling is completed fully operational will assist upwards 1,000 homeless and accommodate at least 330 a night. Ultimately, both shelters are big enough to be remodeled and provide far more sheltered housing for the unhoused.

According to the City budgets for the years 2021 to 2024, the Keller administration has spent upwards of $200,000,000 or approximately $50 Million a year to provide shelter and services to the unhoused.

Keller has taken an “all the above approach” to deal with the city’s homeless. The city will have a total of 5 centers to deal with the homeless that should be operating as an integrated system by the end of next year:

  • The Gibson Gateway shelter
  • The Gateway West shelter
  • The Family Gateway shelter
  • The Youth Homeless shelter
  • The Recovery Shelter

Notwithstanding all the efforts, the city’s financing and programs initiated by Mayor Keller, he insists that the city has 5,000 homeless. Every year that the Point In Time survey is released, the city and service providers always proclaim it is a massive undercount of the city and state’s homeless population. The accuracy of the PIT numbers are called into question with some arguing that the city’s homeless numbers are as high as10,000 or more as demands are made for more and more spending.

Government and charitable providers who rely on government funding to assist the homeless to an extent are motivated to make claims that the numbers they serve are much greater than they really are because government funding or even donations are dependent on the numbers they  serve. This is especially so when federal funding is at stake.

KELLER’S EMBELISHMENT OF THE NUMBERS

The Point in Time (PIT) survey is criticized because everyone at risk of or experiencing homelessness through the course of the entire year is not included.  The PIT report does not include those who are referred to as the “hidden homeless” which is defined as people who may be sleeping in their cars, overcrowded homes, vacant buildings or staying “on and off” with friends or relatives for short periods of time or in other unsafe housing conditions or in undetected campsites and those who have no permanent address.

Mayor Tim Keller’s embellishment that the city has upwards of 5,000 is not supported by the Point In Time survey and borders the ludicrous.  The overall numbers found each year by the PIT over the last 12 years has been very consistent. Albuquerque’s total number of chronic homeless is between 2,002 counted in 2009  and 2,740 counted in 2024.

Until government and all homeless providers come up with an ongoing method of calculating the homeless throughout the year, the annual Point In Time is the only count that is reliable and should not be dismissed as inaccurate.  The blunt reality is that homelessness will never be solved until the underlying causes of being homeless are resolved including poverty and the mental health and drug addiction crisis.

Given the numbers in the 2023 PIT report and the millions being spent on the homeless crisis it should be manageable. Yet the crisis is only seems to get worse and worse each year and it is a continuing major drain on city resources. During the past few years the unhoused have become far more dispersed throughout the city and have become far more aggressive in camping where they want and for how long as they want.

The problem the city and Mayor Keller have failed to solve is the homeless squatters who have no interest in any offers of shelter, beds, motel vouchers from the city or alternatives to living on the street and who want to camp at city parks, on city streets in alleys and trespass in open space. Keller himself acknowledged the very problem itself when he said this: “I just want to be really clear for the public …there’s a bed available for people to sleep. They do not have to be on the street. Now we understand they may make choices — that’s a different thing — but that bed is available.  Until that problem is solved, the public perception will be is that very little to no progress has been made despite millions spent to deal with what Keller has  described as the “challenge of our lifetime.”

The link to a related blog article is here:

City Revising Removal Of Homeless Encampment Policy; South Central And International District Area New Target  For Clean Ups; Action Long Overdue To Enforce Existing City Ordinances

 

City Revising Removal Of Homeless Encampment Policy; South Central And International District Area New Target  For Clean Ups; Action Long Overdue To Enforce Existing City Ordinances

It has been reported that the City of Albuquerque is modifying and changing its policy for removal of homeless encampments to target the proliferation of homeless encampments along South of the State Fair Grounds on Central and in the International District. The entire South East Heights area South of the State Fair grounds on Central, bordered West by San Pedro and East by Louisiana all the way to Gibson on the South, has become overrun with encampments where literally hundreds of the unhoused are camping on the streets and blocking rights of ways, camping on sidewalks and congregating in alleys and area open space and in neighborhoods. The city and some businesses along central have taken to fencing off an alley way to prevent access and congregating by the homeless where illicit drug use is common.

As winter temperatures set in, the city of Albuquerque wants to “update” further its  implemented homeless encampment removal policy to make it a top priority for removal by city crews tasked with clearing  out encampments along South Central. There is no set date for when the updated encampment policy will take effect but the sooner the better. The Mental Health Response Advisory Committee is scheduled to review the changes and will provide comments on November 19 before finalizing the policy updates.  The draft policy seeks to change the city policy implemented in October 2021 and revised a year later in October 2022.

The City of Albuquerque policy for responding to and removal of unhoused encampments was first adopted in October, 2021 and then revised October, 2022. The link to review the entire 2022 sixteen page  encampment removal policy  is here:

https://www.cabq.gov/health-housing-homelessness/documents/final-fcs-encampment-policy-11-7-22.pdf

The link to review the 10 page  draft of the 2024 updated policy is here:

Click to access 2024-encampment-draft-policy-10-4-24-2-673423104024a.pdf

PROPOSED POLICY CHANGES 

The newest updates to the homeless encampment removal policy changes the priority of what encampments to target first, shortens the timeline for which individuals must be notified of an encampment clearing, and how long they can store their personal items with the city. It also increases training for city officials who approach encampments.

When it comes to the priority of encampments to clear, per the new policy draft, those “within one block of Central Ave,” top the list, followed by encampments within 300 feet of school property and those in city parks. The new policy draft makes encampments within one block of Central to be cleared first followed by encampments within 300 feet of school property and encampments found in city parks and city open space.

The city defines an encampment as “an area where an individual or individuals have erected one or more tent or structures, placed multiple personal items on public property, or otherwise demonstrated an intent to remain in that location for 24 hours or more.”

“Immediate Hazard”  homeless encampment is defined under the existing policy as “a situation where an encampment creates an immediate and articulable risk of serious injury or death to either the residents of the encampment or others. Immediate Hazard includes encampments within 10 feet of any public facility where children are present or children’s programming occurs. Immediate Hazard also includes encampments within the Rio Grande Valley State Park, or any public property where fire restrictions have been imposed.”

In the recent draft of the encampment policy there are still priority encampment categories one through three, one being the most urgent. According to city officials, an “interaction team”, who are people designated by the Department of Health, Housing and Homelessness (HHH)  to respond to encampments, and Albuquerque Community Safety Department (ACS) will offer the homeless resources, including a ride to a shelter. They will also give people notice before clearing the encampment.

The 3 tiers of priority encampments are:

Priority 1 encampments are made up of 17 kinds of encampments,  topped by those near Central, schools and parks, including ones where human feces is present, those in an arroyo, ditch, or irrigation channels, those where access is restricted for an event or permit holder and wherever the city conducts municipal operations, just to name a few examples.

Priority 2 encampments are made up of six types of encampments topped by those within 300 feet of medical care, where individuals have “damaged or destroyed city property,” and where the city has responded to multiple calls for a fire.

Priority 3 encampments pertains to any encampment that doesn’t fit the criteria of the 23 sites explicitly listed.

The draft policy states that before clearing an encampment, “city personnel”, which is defined as any city employee or city contractor, should identify themselves, perform a wellness check and then attempt to educate those in the encampment on where they can get shelter, meals or medical care. The draft policy does call for increased training for each city employee who come into contact with the individuals at an encampment site.

The existing policy lists 9 types of encampments in all. Five are in Priority 1 and four are in Priority 2. The top prioritized encampment sites according to the 2022 policy are those located in a children’s park, near community centers and those “obstructing” streets and sidewalks.

Before removing an encampment, the current and the new draft policy state the city must evaluate how many available shelter beds are available. On November 1 the city announced the creation of a new “dashboard” that tracks the availability of beds at city shelters. On November 12, the city’s shelter tracking board listed 250 available beds of the 1,284 it tracks, 87 of which were at Gateway West.

The link to review the tracking board, which is updated constantly, is here:

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/dashboards/417f1dfbbecf48a5a4efc2ac114591c5

The Gateway West is the old westside jail converted and remodeled into a shelter.  The biggest problem with the Gateway West shelter is that it is 30 minutes from the city’s core, away from many homeless service providers and where many people living on the streets do not want to stay.

If beds are not available at city shelters, the draft policy states that no action should be taken unless the encampment presents an “immediate hazard.” (See above definition of Immediate Hazard homeless encampment). If beds are available and the individual declines the offer of shelter, the city official can proceed with clearing the site. There is no need to notify whether or not an encampment is going to be cleared.

While not requiring notice to clear an encampment deemed an immediate risk, the existing policy allows for 72 hours of notice to be given to those occupying the encampment if they were not present. The new draft allows for only 24 hours of notice for Priority 2 encampments and 36 hours for Priority 3 encampments.

For Priority 1 encampments, the draft policy says the city personnel should give 2 hours’ notice to the individuals at the site but can give even less notice if deemed necessary. They can do this by simply enforcing existing city ordinances.

Late in 2023 and early in 2024, the city, especially its Solid Waste Management Department, came under fire for handling encampment clearings and throwing away unhoused residents’ belongings. The American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) of New Mexico went so far as to file a class action lawsuit over how the City cleared and closed Coronado Park permanently which had become Mayor Keller’s  de facto city sanction homeless encampment before he decided to close the park because of the extent of violent crime and illicit drug use. Keller declared the park “the most dangerous place in New Mexico”  in the city despite the fact it was Keller who acquiesced in its usage as a homeless encampment.

The city is also changing the timeline for which property can and will be stored. In the existing policy, an individual could store property with the city for 90 days. The draft policy reduces the time to only allows for 14 days.  According to the city, the reason for the reduction in days is that the city could not find a contractor that “was willing to do it for a reasonable price.”

Deputy Chief Administrative Officer Matthew Whelan said this about the proposed changes being made to the policy:

“There’s not a whole lot that’s different other than it just clearly defines different roles for each department, ensuring coverage and outreach coverage. It increases transparency, consistency and accountability. … Routinely, as times change or as things change, you have to take a look at them and change with them.”

“[South Central and the International District] is a really important area, and part of that is just because of the concentration of people that are in that area. … Shelter is a choice, and individuals have the right to refuse it. And what we’ve noticed over time is when you continually offer resources, and you’re continually out there, and you get to know the individual, they’re more likely to take up the resources, they’re more likely to go to Gateway West or the oncoming Gateway Center.”

The link to the relied upon and quoted news source are here:

https://www.koat.com/article/albuquerque-adds-changes-to-encampment-policy/62888573

https://www.abqjournal.com/news/city-could-prioritize-clearing-encampments-near-central-avenue-as-winter-approaches/article_f3815b28-9c8d-11ef-8e14-cb1b1c06aa4c.html#tncms-source=home-featured-7-block

CITY ORDINANCES PROHBITING ENCAMPMENTS

The city has enacted  6 ordinances that prohibits unhoused camping. Those ordinances are:

  1. Albuquerque City Ordinance 12-2-3, defining criminal trespass on public and private property.
  2. Albuquerque City Ordinance 8-2-7-13, prohibiting the placement of items on a sidewalk so as to restrict its free use by pedestrians.
  3. Albuquerque City Ordinance 10-1-1-10, prohibiting being in a park at nighttime when it is closed to public use.
  4. Albuquerque City Ordinance 12-2-7, prohibiting hindering persons passing along any street, sidewalk, or public way.
  5. Albuquerque City Ordinance 5-8-6, prohibiting camping on open space lands and regional preserves.
  6. Albuquerque City Ordinance 10-1-1-3, prohibiting the erection of structures in city parks.

On June 28, 2024 the United State Supreme Court announced its ruling in the case of Grants Pass v. Johnson where the court held that local laws that are said when enforced criminalize homelessness do not violate the U.S. Constitution and do not constitute cruel and unusual punishment. The case challenged a municipality’s ability to bar people from sleeping or camping in public areas, such as sidewalks and parks

CITY AND CHARTIABLE SHELTERS

Each year, the city attempts to make changes to improve the encampment removal policy to accommodate changing circumstances.  City officials say the the ultimate goal is to get people into shelters. There are 9 City Shelters operated by the city itself or with partners and 2 operated independently from the city.

The 9 city  shelters are:

  1. The Gateway West (the renovated Westside Jail): 630 Total Beds.
  2. The Gibson Gateway Center (the remodeled Lovelace Hospital): 50 total beds.
  3. The Family Gateway Center: 65 total beds.
  4. Berrett Foundation: 19 total beds.
  5. Good Shepherd: 35 total beds.
  6. HH – Albuquerque Opportunity Center: 57 beds.
  7. Safe House: 50 beds.
  8. YDI Amistad:16 beds.
  9. Gateway First Responder Receiving Area: 10 beds.

TOTAL: 932

The 2 private charitable organization run shelters are:

  1. Joy Junction: 290 beds.
  2. Steel Bridge: 77 beds

TOTALBEDS: 367

COMBINED TOTAL BEDS: 1,299

ALBUQUERQUE UNSHELTERED DATA BREAKDOWN

Mayor Tim Keller and City officials repeatedly say the city has 5,000 homeless but never fully articulate sources for the statistics. The reality is there is an embellishment of the figures by more than doubling an official count.  During a July 29 Town Hall meeting held by Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham on “Public Safety”, Mayor Tim Keller proclaimed the city of Albuquerque is cleaning up and removing upwards of 1,000 encampments a month and he has since said  the city needs  to double the number.

The Point-In-Time (PIT) count is the annual counting individuals and families experiencing sheltered and unsheltered homelessness within a community on a single night in January. This year’s PIT count occurred on the night of January 29.  On July 31, the New Mexico Coalition to End Homelessness released the 2024 Point-In-Time (PIT) Report for the numbers of unhoused in Albuquerque. The 2024 Point In Time survey provides far more information than in past reports on the breakdown, the barriers experienced by the homeless and the effect cleanups have and for that reason the statistics  merit review.   The link to review the entire 62-page 2024 PIT report is here:

 https://www.nmceh.org/_files/ugd/ad7ad8_4e2a2906787e4ca19853b9c7945a4dc9

HOUSEHOLDS COUNTED IN ALBUQUERQUE

The 2024 PIT survey reported that the total count of HOUSEHOLDS experiencing homelessness in Albuquerque on January 29, 2024 was 2,248. (Households include those with or without children or only children.)  The breakdown is as follows:

  • Emergency Shelters: 1,018
  • Transitional Housing: 174
  • Unsheltered: 1,056

TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS: 2,248

PERSONS COUNTED IN ALBUQUERQUE

The 2024 PIT survey reported that the total count of PERSONS experiencing homelessness in Albuquerque on January 29, 2024 was 2,740 broken down in 3 categories.

  • Emergency Shelters: 1,289
  • Transitional Housing: 220
  • Unsheltered: 1,231

TOTAL PERSONS: 2,740

UNSHELTERED BREAKDOWN

The data breakdown for the 2024 Albuquerque UNSHELTERED was reported as follows:

  • 960 (78%) were considered chronically homeless.
  • 727 (22%) were not considered chronically homeless.
  • 106 (8.6%) had served in the military.
  • 927 (75.3%) had NOT served in the military.
  • 669 (56.6%) were experiencing homelessness for the first time.
  • 525 (42.6%) were NOT experiencing homelessness for the first time.
  • 5% of all respondents said they were homeless due to domestic violence with 49.2% of those being women..
  • 4% said they were adults with a serious mental illness.
  • 0% said they were adults with a substance abuse disorder.
  • 8% said they were adults with another disabling condition.
  • 3% were adults with HIV/AIDS.

THOSE WHO MOVED TO NEW MEXICO FROM ELSWWHERE

For the first time, the PIT tried to gage the migration of the unhoused to New Mexico from other states.  Individuals who stated they moved to New Mexico from somewhere else were asked whether or not they were experiencing homelessness when they moved to the State. They responded as follows:

  • 82 (24.8%) said they were homeless before moving to the state.
  • 212 (63.8%) said they were not homeless before moving to the state.
  • 77 (11.4%) refused to answer

BARRIERS TO HOUSING LISTED

Unhoused respondents were asked to list the barriers they are currently experiencing that are preventing them from obtaining housing. The response options were developed during multiple meetings with community planning groups and based on responses to a similar 2023 survey question. The responses were as follows:

  • Access to services: 439 responses (42%)
  • Access to communication: 263 responses 25%
  • Available housing is in unsafe neighborhoods: 119 responses 11%
  • Credit issues: 150 responses 14%
  • Criminal record: 220 responses 21%
  • Deposit/Application fees: 316 responses 30%
  • Lack of vouchers (rental subsidies: 333 responses 32%
  • Missing documentation: 374 responses 35%
  • No housing for large households: 33 responses 3%
  • Pet deposits/Pet Rent: 57 responses 5%
  • Pets not allowed/Breed Restrictions: 48 responses 5%
  • Rental history: 144 responses 14%
  • Rental prices: 340 responses 32%
  • Safety/Security: 77 responses 7%
  • Substance Use Disorder: 283 responses 27%
  • Lack of employment: 45 responses 4%
  • Disabled: 34 responses 3%
  • No mailing address: 31 3%
  • Lack of income: 30 3%
  • Homeless by choice: 30 responses 3%
  • Ineffective service landscape: 25 responses 2%
  • Lack of transportation: 14 responses 1%
  • Discrimination: 8 responses 1%

ENCAMPMENT CLEANUPS AND REMOVAL

For the very first time, Albuquerque’s Unhoused were asked how many times has their encampment been decommissioned (removed) by the city over  the last year. Following are the statistics:

  • 69 reported once
  • 98 report twice
  • 67 reported three times
  • 55 reported 4 times
  • 497 report 5 time or more

During the July 29 Town Hall meeting held by Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham on “Public Safety”, Mayor Tim Keller proclaimed the city of Albuquerque is cleaning up and removing upwards of 1,000 encampments a month. Keller gave no further information and his claim appears to be an embellishment when compared to the PIT survey results.

ITEMS LOST AS A RESULT OF CITY CLEAN UPS

The unhouse surveyed were asked what types of items they lost during encampment removals. Losing these items can hinder progress toward housing and cause emotional distress, especially when sentimental items are involved.  The response categories are not mutually exclusive and respondents were allowed to select more than one that applied.

  • 81% said they lost their birth certificate.
  • 5% said they lost a phone or tablet.
  • 4% said they lost personal or sentimental items.
  • 5% said they lost prescription medications.
  • 9% said they lost social security cards.
  • 6 said they lost a state ID or driver’s license.

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

Making South Central and the International District a targeted area for removal of homeless encampments is long overdue. The city needs to enforce its existing city ordinances. The unhoused are not above the law. They cannot be allowed to just ignore the law, illegally camp wherever they want for as long as they want and as they choose, when they totally reject any and all government housing or shelter assistance. The City has every right to enforce its laws on behalf of its citizens to preserve and protect the public health, safety and welfare of all its citizens.

The city has spent,  or is spending,  upwards of $100 million a year on homeless services including two emergency shelters, subsidized housing, food and medical care and drug counseling. The vast number of the chronically unhoused refuse or decline city shelter, housing, services and financial help offered or simply say they are not satisfied with what is being offered by the city.

Unlawful encampment squatters who refuse city services and all alternatives to living on the street, who want to camp at city parks, on city streets in alleys and trespass in open space give the city no choice but to take action and force them to move on.  Allowing the homeless to use, congregate and camp anywhere they want for as long as they want in violation of city laws and ordinances should never be considered as an option to deal with the homeless crisis given all the resources the city is dedicating the millions being spent to assist the homeless.

The homeless crisis will not be solved by the city nor by Mayor Keller, but it can and must be managed. The management of the crisis is to provide the support services, including food and lodging, and mental health care needed to allow the homeless to turn their lives around, become productive self-sufficient citizens, no longer dependent on relatives or others.

Too many elected and government officials and organizations such as the American Civil Liberties Association of New Mexico, have a hard time dealing with the fact that many homeless adults simply want to live their life as they choose, where they want to camp for as long as they can get away with it, without any government nor family interference and especially no government rules and no regulations. No county and no municipality should ever be required to just simply ignore and to not enforce anti-camping ordinances, vagrancy laws, civil nuisance abatement laws and criminal laws designed to protect the general public’s health, safety and welfare of a community.

Squatters who have no interest in any offers of shelter, beds, motel vouchers or alternatives to living on the street really give the city no choice but to make it totally inconvenient for them to “squat” anywhere they want and force them to move on. After repeated attempts to force them to move on and citations, arrests are in order.

The link to a related blog article is here:

Point In Time Survey Reveals ABQ’s Homeless Encampment Clean Up Efforts; City Policy And Process To Remove Homeless Encampments Outlined; More Must Be Done Enforcing Vagrancy Laws As Allowed By The United States Supreme Court

Trump’s 1st Day And 100 Day Agenda; Chaos And Dismantling Of Government; Voter’s Personal Financial Well Being Outweighed Desire For Democracy

It was President Franklin D. Roosevelt who worked feverishly to pull the nation out of a depression during his first 100 days in office that started the timestamp which  has been used by Presidents since then to establish and to implement their agenda.  It has now been one full week since Donald Trump was elected President for a second time. Inauguration day is January 20, 2025 when Trump will be sworn in as the nation’s 37th President and his 100 day agenda is already emerging.

For months, Trumps allies have been working to prepare a series of executive orders that will help Trump carry out his aggressive conservative Republican agenda. Trump’s allies in Congress, including House Speaker Mike Johnson have promised to act quickly and “aggressively” to advance Trump’s political  agenda once he is sworn in. Republicans will control the Senate and its more likely than not that they will also control the House once all the races are called.

THE TRUMP AGENDA

Donald Trump has said he would not  be a dictator “except for Day 1.” His closest advisors, supporters and congressional Republicans are already gearing up making plans, drafting legislation and preparing  Presidential Executive Orders to accomplish his agenda within the first 100 days of taking office.  According to his own statements, Trump will do a lot on his  first day in the White House. His list includes starting up with the mass deportation of migrants, rolling back Biden administration policies on education, reshaping the federal government by firing potentially thousands of federal employees he believes are secretly working against him, and pardoning people who were arrested for their role in the riot at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.

This article is an in depth discussion on what Trump has said he will do on his first day in office and during his second term. This article has been gleaned from various news sources which are edited, consolidated and quoted for the sake of brevity.  The links to all the articles relied upon and quoted with authorships are listed at the end of the article and before final Analysis and Commentary.

THE DAY ONE AGENDA

President Trump has already announced an aggressive day one agenda. That agenda can be summarized as follows:

TRUMPS PENDING CRIMINAL CASES

Trump has said that “within two seconds” of taking office that he would fire Special Counsel Jack Smith  who has been prosecuting two federal cases against him. Smith is already evaluating how to wind down the cases because of long-standing Justice Department policy that says sitting presidents cannot be prosecuted. Smith charged Trump last year with plotting to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election and illegally hoarding classified documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida.

Trump cannot pardon himself when it comes to his state conviction in New York in a hush money case, but he could seek to leverage his status as president-elect in an effort to set aside or expunge his felony conviction and stave off a potential prison sentence. The Georgia case, where Trump was charged with election interference, will likely be the only criminal case left standing. It would probably be put on hold until at least 2029, at the end of his presidential term. The Georgia prosecutor on the case just won reelection.

PARDONING JANUARY 6 INSURRECTIONISTS

More than 1,500 people have been charged since the mob of Trump supporters attacked the Capitol on January 6, 2021 and where at least 5 people were killed.  Trump launched his general election campaign in March by not merely trying to rewrite the history of that riot, but positioning the violent siege and failed attempt to overturn the 2020 election as a cornerstone of his bid to return to the White House. As part of that, he called the rioters “unbelievable patriots” and promised to help them “the first day we get into office.”

As president, Trump can pardon anyone convicted in federal court, District of Columbia Superior Court or in a military court-martial. He can stop the continued prosecution of rioters by telling his attorney general to stand down. Trump said on his social media platform:

“I am inclined to pardon many of them. … I can’t say for every single one, because a couple of them, probably they got out of control.”

DISMANTLE THE ‘DEEP STATE’ OF GOVERNMENT WORKERS

Trump is fully expected on his first day in office to begin the process of stripping tens of thousands of career employees of their civil service protections, so they could be more easily fired.  Trump  wants to do two things:

  1. Drastically reduce the federal workforce, which he has long said is an unnecessary drain.
  2. “Totally obliterate the deep state” who Trumps  perceives as the “enemies from within” and who he believes are hiding in government jobs.

The federal government bureaucracy has thousands of political appointed professionals who come and go with administrations. There are tens of thousands of “career” officials, who work under Democratic and Republican presidents. They are considered “apolitical” workers whose expertise and experience help keep the government functioning, particularly through transitions.

Trump wants the ability to convert some of those career people into political appointment jobs, making them easier to dismiss and replace with loyalists. He would try to accomplish that by reviving a 2020 executive order known as “Schedule F.” The purpose of the order is to strip job protections from federal workers and create a new class of political employees. It could affect roughly 50,000 of 2.2 million civilian federal employees.

President Joe Biden rescinded the order when he took office in January 2021, but Congress failed to pass a bill protecting federal employees. The Office of Personnel Management, the federal government’s chief human resources agency, finalized a rule last spring against reclassifying workers, so Trump will likely  have to spend several months or even years unwinding it.

Trump has said he has a particular focus on “corrupt bureaucrats who have weaponized our justice system” and “corrupt actors in our national security and intelligence apparatus.”  Beyond the firings, Trump wants to crack down on government officials who leak to reporters. He also wants to require that federal employees pass a new civil service test.

PURGING THE DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE

On November 11, an attorney helping President-elect Donald Trump assemble his new administration warned career employees at the U.S. Justice Department that they could be fired if they tried to resist the Trump’s agenda. Mark Paoletta, an attorney at Schaerr Jaffe who is leading Trump’s Justice Department transition team, in a post on X said this:

“If these career DOJ employees won’t implement President Trump’s program in good faith, they should leave. Those employees who engage in so-called ‘resistance’ against the duly-elected President’s lawful agenda would be subverting American democracy. … Those that take such actions would be subject to disciplinary measures, including termination.”

The post on X came in response to a Politico news article which reported that many Justice Department career attorneys, civil servants who typically remain in their posts from administration to administration regardless of which party holds the White House,  are alarmed by what a second Trump presidency will mean.

https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2024-11-11/trump-transition-official-warns-justice-dept-staff-against-resistance

It’s likely the purge of the Department of Justice will begin with Trump issuing blanket terminations of every single United States Attorney in the United States, which is a common practice of any new President and which Trump did 8  years ago. The Difference is Trump will likely reach out and appoint like minded private attorneys willing to do his bidding without question and who will give him 100% loyalty to his agenda including prosecuting political opponents.

PURGING THE PENTAGON

Trump is expected to have a far darker view of his military leaders in his second term, after facing Pentagon resistance over everything from his skepticism toward NATO to his readiness to deploy troops to quell protests on U.S. streets. Trump’s former U.S. generals and defense secretaries are among his fiercest critics. Many branded  him a fascist and declared  him unfit for office and supported Vice President Kamala Harris. Angered, Trump has suggested that his former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mark Milley, could be executed for treason after he labeled Trump a fascist.

Donald Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff John Kelly, who is a  retired Marine general, warned that Trump meets the very definition of a fascist and that while in office, Trump suggested that Natzi leader Adolf Hitler “did some good things.”  Kelly made the remarks in interviews with both The New York Times and The Atlantic.  Kelly said in his interview with The New York  Times that Trump met the very  definition of a fascist. After reading the definition aloud, including that fascism was “a far-right authoritarian, ultranationalist political ideology and movement characterized by a dictatorial leader,” Kelly concluded Trump “certainly falls into the general definition of fascist, for sure.”

Current and former U.S. officials say Trump will prioritize loyalty in his second term and root out military officers and career civil servants he perceives to be disloyal. Culture war issues could be one trigger for firings. Trump was asked by Fox News in June whether he would fire generals described as “woke,” a term for those focused on racial and social justice but which is used by conservatives to disparage progressive policies.  “I would fire them. You can’t have (a) woke military,” Trump said.

Some current and former officials fear Trump’s team could target the current chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Air Force General C.Q. Brown, a widely respected former fighter pilot and military commander who steers clear of politics. The four-star general, who is Black, issued a video message about discrimination in the ranks in the days after the May 2020 murder of George Floyd by a police officer in Minneapolis, and has been a voice in favor of diversity in the U.S. military.

Asked for comment, Brown’s spokesperson, Navy Captain Jereal Dorsey, said: “The chairman along with all of the service members in our armed forces remain focused on the security and defense of our nation and will continue to do so, ensuring a smooth transition to the new administration of President-elect Trump.”

Trump’s vice president-elect, J.D. Vance, voted as a senator last year against confirming Brown to become the top U.S. military officer, and has been a critic of perceived resistance to Trump’s orders within the Pentagon.  “If the people in your own government aren’t obeying you, you have got to get rid of them and replace them with people who are responsive to what the president’s trying to do,” Vance said in an interview with Tucker Carlson before the election.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/how-trump-presidency-could-lead-purge-pentagon-2024-11-10/

IMPOSE TARIFFS ON IMPORTED GOODS

Trump promised throughout the campaign to impose tariffs on imported goods, particularly those from China. He argued that such import taxes would keep manufacturing jobs in the United States, shrink the federal deficit and help lower food prices. He also cast them as central to his national security agenda. The size of his pledged tariffs vary greatly.

Trump says he will impose between a 10% and 20% across-the-board tariff on all $3 trillion worth of U.S. goods imports and a 60% tariff on all Chinese goods. That would dramatically expand the duties he imposed during his first term on tens of billions of dollars worth of steel and aluminum and more than $300 billion worth of Chinese goods.

Trump will  not need Congress to impose these tariffs, as was clear in 2018, when he imposed them on steel and aluminum imports without going through lawmakers by citing Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. That law, according to the Congressional Research Service, gives a president the power to adjust tariffs on imports that could affect U.S. national security, an argument Trump has made. Regardless, Congress will be controlled by Republicans and he could just as easily get their approval.

Trump is  expected to take an aggressive stance in the six-year-review of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which his first administration negotiated to replace NAFTA. That review officially begins in 2026, but the countries are already preparing for it. Trump will likely  threaten tariffs to pressure Mexico on immigration, as he did in 2019 using IEEPA.

Other possible actions, like revoking permanent normal trade relations with China or imposing a carbon-border adjustment tax, would require congressional approval. Congress could also take up trade and tariff issues as part of legislation to renew Trump’s 2017 tax cuts, which expire next year. Trump has talked about using the import tax both as a way to raise revenue and to reduce the U.S. trade deficit.

DRILL,  BABY,  DRILL

On Day 1 when he gets into office,  Trump  has pledged to increase production of U.S. fossil fuels, promising to “drill, drill, drill” and seeking to open the Arctic wilderness to oil drilling, which he claims would lower energy costs.  With an executive order on Day 1, Trump can roll back environmental protections, halt wind projects, scuttle the Biden administration’s targets that encourage the switch to electric cars and abolish standards for companies to become more environmentally friendly. Trump wants  to reverse climate policies aimed at reducing planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions.

REVERSAL OF BIDEN’S CLIMATE CHANGE AGENDA

As soon as he takes office on January 20, Trump is expected to reverse work on President Joe Biden’s aggressive climate change agenda that aimed to reduce fossil fuel use and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Trump has vowed to save the nation’s aging fleet of coal-fired power plants and boost production of oil and natural gas, although the U.S. is already producing those fuels at record levels, especially in New Mexico.

The process of repealing and replacing Biden’s rules will likely be difficult and lengthy. There are some added twists this time around on key climate rules. Trump’s power plant climate rule was struck down in 2021. Trump’s rule would have required coal-fired power plants make minor adjustments to improve their efficiency. A federal appeals court said the Environmental Protection Agency should have at least considered other regulatory possibilities such as carbon capture, the technology that now forms the basis of Biden’s replacement rule. That 2021 court ruling has technically been vacated, but it’s something his legal team may keep in mind moving forward.  Trump also can not  completely repeal Biden’s big methane rule that requires the oil and gas sector to crack down on its leaks of the potent greenhouse gas. Trump did a full repeal in his first term, but Congress since then has essentially required EPA to regulate.

FOREIGN POLICY AGENDA

There is little doubt that Trump will be forced immediately to deal with foreign policy and Russia, Ukraine, Israel, Iran and China.  Trumps  approach is far from certain to be successful and poses the real risk of making things even worse, especially in the Ukraine and Israeli wars.

STOPPING THE RUSSIAN AND UKRAINE WAR  ON DAY ONE

Russia invaded Ukraine nearly 3 years ago. Trump, who makes no secret of his admiration for Russian President Vladimir Putin, has criticized the Biden administration for giving money to Ukraine to fight the war. Trump was impeached the first time when he was accused of  threatening to withhold funding from Ukraine in exchange for concessions and information on Hunter Biden.  There is a stark possibility that he will ask congress to cease all funding to Ukraine. Trump when asked if he wanted Ukraine to win the war, he wouldn’t answer. He’s blamed Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, for the war and threatened to stop investment in the country, despite the fact that it was Russian President Vladimir Putin who invaded Ukraine and annex portions of the country.

Trump has repeatedly said he will end the  war between Russia and Ukraine on one day.  At a CNN town hall in May 2023, Trump said this: “They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians. I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done.  I’ll have that done in 24 hours.”  Trump has boldly proclaimed he will  end of the war will  after he mets with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Putin, simply presuming  they will meet wit him and make concessions. Russia’s U.N. ambassador, Vassily Nebenzia, when asked to respond to Trump’s  boast said “the Ukrainian crisis cannot be solved in one day.”

ISRAEL

Trump has said that he wants Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to end the war in Gaza by January before he returns to office.  Trump’s views on Gaza and the West Bank diverge significantly from those of President Biden. Where Biden has pushed for Israeli troops to ultimately leave Gaza and for Netanyahu to agree to a two-state solution, Trump has previously pushed a plan that would allow Israel to gain greater control over the Palestinians. In that plan, Trump vowed to help guide $50 billion in international investment toward the Palestinian people, helping it prop up their economy. Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner was heavily involved in Trump’s Middle East policy under the last administration, helping formulate the plan for Israel and the Palestinians and brokering the Abraham Accords, a deal in which Bahrain and the UAE recognized Israel’s sovereignty. Kushner has shown no signs that he will be actively involved in a second administration, at least not publicly.

IRAN

Trump’s first administration took a strong stance against Iran. He implemented what was then dubbed a “maximum pressure” campaign to heavily sanction Tehran and deprive its economy of the ability to grow. The sanctions also targeted top commanders of the Iran Revolutionary Guard Corp and other high-ranking officials. Trump gave the orders for killing former IRGC Commander Qassem Soleimani in a strike in January 2020. Angered by Soleimani’s death, Iran and its proxies have since vowed revenge and have even made threats to assassinate the president-elect.  Three  individuals connected to Iran have been indicted over plotting to assassinate Trump.   Trump’s stance toward Iran is likely to influence how he approaches the wars in Gaza and Lebanon, as well as his broader Middle East policy. While Trump and Netanyahu have not been on the best of terms, it’s likely that whatever policy Trump implements to deal with Tehran and its proxies will include a significant bump in support for Israel.

CHINA

Trump’s China policy was largely built on his broader “America First” stance. His first administration sought to reign in Chinese aggression in the trade sector, implementing harsh penalties for intellectual property theft. During his first term, Washington sought to reduce America’s alliance on Beijing and to blunt the country’s technological advancements. Trump is likely to  reinstate the policy to continue it. The trickiest part for Trump will likely be how to manage an aggressive U.S. stance toward China without provoking Beijing and jeopardizing Taiwan.

MASS DEPORTATIONS OF MIGRANTS

Speaking at his Madison Square Garden rally in New York and making his closing statements of his campaign, Trump said this:

“On Day 1, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history to get the criminals out. I will rescue every city and town that has been invaded and conquered, and we will put these vicious and bloodthirsty criminals in jail, then kick them the hell out of our country as fast as possible.”

Trump has vowed to build detention camps, implement mass deportations at a scale never seen, hire thousands more border agents, funnel military spending toward border security and invoke the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to expel suspected members of drug cartels and criminal gangs without a court hearing. Trump has said he would end “catch-and-release”, which is  the release of migrants into a U.S. community while they await their immigration court hearings, and restore his Remain in Mexico policy from his first term that required asylum seekers to wait in Mexico while their cases were processed.

Trump  has sidestepped questions about whether or not he would try to bring back his controversial zero-tolerance policy, the family separation policy that placed roughly 5,000 children in the custody of the Office of Refugee Resettlement and sent them to shelters and foster homes across the country while their parents were criminally prosecuted for crossing the border illegally.  Trump announced the appointment of Tom Homan, his former acting Immigration and Customs Enforcement director, “in charge of all Deportation of Illegal Aliens back to their Country of Origin,” a central part of his agenda.

There are  nearly 15  million people who are believed to be in the United States illegally. Trump can direct his administration to begin the effort to deport them the minute he arrives in office, but it’s much more complicated to actually deport. That will  require a huge, trained law enforcement force, massive detention facilities, airplanes to move people and then there is the matter if  nations will be willing to cooperate and accept them back.

The Wall Street Journal has put a cost on that process: Citing the American Immigration Council, the Journal reported the cost $88 billion a year, totaling around $968 billion over the next decade, partially due to the estimated numbers, which range from 10 million to 20 million people.  According to the Wall Street Journal

“Any deportation effort requires enormous resources to hire more federal agents to identify and arrest immigrants, contract out space to detain them and procure airplanes to fly them to other countries.”

Trump has said he would invoke the Alien Enemies Act. That rarely used 1798 law allows the president to deport anyone who is not an American citizen and is from a country with which there is a “declared war” or a threatened or attempted “invasion or predatory incursion.” Trump  He has spoken about deploying the National Guard, which can be activated on orders from a governor. Stephen Miller, a top Trump adviser, said sympathetic Republican governors could send troops to nearby states that refuse to participate.

Asked about the cost of his plan, Trump told NBC News this:

“It’s not a question of a price tag. It’s not — really, we have no choice. When people have killed and murdered, when drug lords have destroyed countries, and now they’re going to go back to those countries because they’re not staying here. There is no price tag.”

RELATIONS WITH MEXICO

During his first presidential campaign in 2015, Trump blamed Mexico for taking US jobs while exporting drug traffickers, rapists and murders. Mexico’s business leaders felt they weathered the first Trump storm relatively well. Some believe President Claudia Sheinbaum can follow the playbook that worked for her predecessor Andrés Manuel López Obrador which was don’t criticize Trump and give him what he wants on migration.

A second Trump administration poses far more serious challenges for Mexico, the biggest trading partner of the US. Business leaders and experts on the bilateral relationship fear that the fledgling Sheinbaum government is not well placed to navigate them. Trump will be a more powerful president this time around, with  majorities in both houses of Congress.  He will be determined to press a harder bargain with his weaker southern neighbor, which is suffering from drug-related violence and sluggish growth.

Andrés Rozental, a former Mexican deputy foreign minister said this:

“Trump redoubled is much more difficult to deal with . . . he is a bully, and [Sheinbaum] is an inexperienced national politician. … I get the impression that it’s going to be a lopsided relationship, with the Americans demanding constantly more from Mexico, and Mexico being unable to commit or even to make a major difference.”

Trump’s campaign threats of blanket tariffs, inducements to US companies to bring production back home, the mass deportation of around 11million illegal migrants and the designation of drug cartels as terrorist groups, will hit Mexico disproportionately hard. Around half the migrants living without papers in the US are Mexican, Mexico is home to two of the world’s biggest and most feared drug cartels, and the country depends on the US market for 83%  of its exports.

Mexico’s first female president has said little so far about how she plans to deal with Trump, other than that there was “not a single reason to worry” about the countries’ “good relationship”. Sheinbaum spoke with Trump  saying the call was “very cordial”. Sheinbaum said Trump brought up the border and that she told him there would be a time to discuss it.  Arturo Sarukhán, a former Mexican ambassador to the US and Washington-based consultant, said that while Mexican President Sheinbaum  is confident that there  is “not a single reason to worry” what’s important to understand is “how a profoundly misogynistic man like Donald Trump will interact with the first woman president of Mexico”.

TRUMP’S 100 DAY AGENDA

Trumps 100-day agenda is just as aggressive as what he has promised to do on day one.  Following are the highlights of Trump’s agenda:

HEALTH CARE AND ABORTION

Simply put, Trump intends to turn the nation’s  health policy upside down. He has promised to let vaccine skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. “go wild” with health in his administration. A major health role for Kennedy would shift the Republican agenda away from policy debates over legislation and regulation toward a more fundamental one about the government’s role in medicine.

Kennedy has touted the debunked claim that vaccines cause autism, written a book accusing former NIH official Anthony Fauci of conspiring with tech mogul Bill Gates and drug makers to sell Covid vaccines, and launched a movement to “make America healthy again” by replacing officials at agencies he says are captives of the industries they regulate, eliminating “toxic additives and pesticide residues” in food, promoting alternative medicine and ending fluoridation of public water.

On abortion, Trump has tried to distance himself from his role in appointing three of the Supreme Court justices who overturned Roe v. Wade. He not only denied that he would seek federal legislation to ban or restrict abortion but also said he’d veto any ban that reached his desk.  Regardless, Trump won’t move to codify abortion protections under Roe or otherwise seek to make the procedure more accessible in states that have restricted it.

On Obamacare, even conservative health policy analysts who’d like to repeal the Affordable Care Act are saying that will not happen. Instead,  Trump will focus on loosening regulations on insurers and targeting specific elements of the law for repeal or reform. Vice President-elect JD Vance wants to cut costs for healthy, younger people by allowing them to sign up for insurance based on the health risks they face. That could increase prices for older people and those with pre-existing conditions, who are shielded from risk-based pricing under Obamacare.

Trump supported allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices in his 2016 campaign but later backed away. Now he’s in charge of ongoing negotiations Congress mandated in the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, which are supposed to include dozens of new drugs during his term. Every Republican lawmaker voted against that law. Trump’s Justice Department is now tasked with defending it against pharmaceutical company challenges in court.

RACE AND GENDER IN SCHOOLS

The 2024 Republican platform vowed to cut federal funds for schools that teach about race and gender and bar transgender women from women’s sports teams. Trump during the campaign made outlandish and false claim that schools were engaged gender reassignment surgery of children without parental consent and that parents sent their kids to school as one gender, and they would return home as another gender. Republican ads ran all over the country in hotly contested congressional races, including the New Mexico Second Congressional District race between Gabe Vasquez and Yvette Harrel, where Democrat incumbents were accused of favoring transgender women playing in women’s sports teams.

Trump could accomplish many of his promises to cut federal funds for schools that teach about race and gender in his next administration, even without Congress. He has threatened to pull federal money for schools that teach certain race-related curriculum, which he could do by directing his Education Department’s Office for Civil Rights to launch investigations into schools with these classes and yank their funding.

His previous administration followed a similar playbookFormer Education Secretary Betsy DeVos’ civil rights office determined that letting transgender women play on women’s teams violated a federal anti-discrimination law known as Title IX. She used the policy to threaten a local school board with legal action or a loss of funding.

Trump has promised to overhaul Title IX and to restore a 2020 rule that guided how schools respond to reports of sexual misconduct. The Biden administration rescinded the rule, a move that’s been tied up in court. A new rule could go much further to include clarifications on what “sex” means and determine whether transgender students can play on sports teams or use facilities that align with their gender identity.

Trump has also promised civil rights investigations into schools that use race in admissions and vowed to reinstate his 1776 Commission, which seeks to “promote fair and patriotic civics education.”

DEREGULATING HOUSING INDUSTRY

Trump has pledged to ease regulations to help builders boost the supply of housing in a bid to bring down costs. The Republican National Committee also endorsed the idea of selling off federal lands for the construction of housing, which Utah Republicans have pushed in Congress.  The first Trump administration worked to recapitalize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two government-controlled companies backing roughly half of the nation’s residential mortgages. But the plan to eventually release and privatize the government-sponsored enterprises ran aground when the pandemic struck. Now, depending on who Trump picks to lead the Treasury Department and the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the administration Trump may have another shot.

TAXATION

Tax cuts worth $4.6 trillion from Trump’s first term are set to expire at the end of 2025. Trump has pledged to make those tax cuts permanent, while at the same time proposing wide-ranging new cuts.  Those new tax cuts Trump promised include ending taxation of tips,  allowing a deduction for auto-loan interest and no taxation of social security.

It will be Congress that will  have to figure out which of Trumps proposals are doable. Congress will have to try to come up with the money to reup Trump’s expiring tax cuts.  The blunt reality is that those breaks mostly affect individual taxpayers, and nearly everyone’s taxes would rise if they are allowed to lapse at the end of next year.

The Republican congress  will have to determine how much in total they intend to spend on a tax bill. They are deeply divided over what to do about the government’s $2 trillion deficit. Trump wants to finance income tax cuts with tariff increases. It’s true that protectionist sentiment is on the rise in Congress, but many lawmakers are likely to balk at the steep tariffs Trump has proposed.

Republicans might also try to rescind Democrats’ green energy tax breaks, though some have become fans of the provisions, so that could be difficult as well. There are other, more gimmicky, ways Republicans could try to reduce costs, like a shorter extension of their tax cuts.

Links to all relied upon and quoted news sources with authorships provided are here:

https://apnews.com/article/trump-day-1-priorities-deportations-drilling-ukraine-6747c6e64b0440978f59450b928f61d1

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/06/donald-trump-second-term-policies-00187157

https://time.com/7174809/donald-trump-second-term-day-one-agenda-executive-orders-policies/

https://www.npr.org/2024/11/06/nx-s1-5181800/2024-election-trump-first-100-days-agenda

https://www.audacy.com/krld/news/national/what-to-expect-from-trumps-first-100-days-in-office

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-first-100-days-1982833

https://www.ft.com/content/637b9511-6f16-460b-bc09-32e07c064f5a

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/06/politics/second-term-donald-trump/index.html

https://www.msnbc.com/the-beat-with-ari/watch/what-will-trump-do-in-second-term-experts-decode-2025-plan-and-first-clues-after-win-223950917667

ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY

It was the economy that swept Trump to a decisive victory. Exit polls showed that the voting public were extremely disgruntled  with the direction the country is going, with inflation out of the control  and the economy. Voters were far more were concerned about making a decent living, angered over grocery and gas prices, as opposed to any threat Trump posed to democracy. Voters simply believed they were better off when Trump was President the first time. Voters chose to forget the 4 years of total chaos Trump brought upon the county and his failure to deal with the pandemic that had a strangle hold on the country and that destroyed the economy.

In the end, voters simply ignored Trumps flawed character, the multimillion dollar civil judgements against him for sexual assault, his criminal conduct while in office, his fraud in securing of loans, the  multiple state criminal convictions and pending federal criminal charges, his two impeachments, his misogyny and racism, his threat to democracy, his attempt to overthrow the government with all his lies that the election was rigged and stolen from him, his attacks on woman’s rights and civil rights, his allegiance to racists groups such as the Proud Boys, his promotion of racist policies and his cult following of Christian fundamentalist who totally ignored his immorality, multiple marriages and affairs and praised him as the second coming.

Trump will be our President come January 20 and there will be a peaceful transfer of power, unlike 4 years ago when Trump promoted an insurrection. The country will get the President it has elected. It is more likely than not Trump and his Republican Party will overreach with all they want to do to dismantle government already declaring they have a mandate to do whatever they damn well want with no guard rails. There will be no checks and balances from congress.  There will be no intervention from the Trump appointed Supreme Court of right-wing conservative disciples who have given him immunity from prosecution making him above the law.

Trumps agenda will go way beyond what people thought they were voting for which is a better economy and a better future. It’s not at all likely voters will be any better off financially than they are now in two years under a Trump second presidency let alone the 4 years to come. It may be the “economy stupid” but in reality a President can do little to bring down the cost of goods and services which is subject to the laws of supply and demand, and corporate profits and sure greed.

It’s only a matter of time before the general public turns on Trump as they did 4 years ago once  they realize they have been had once again. They did the same to Republican  President George W. Bush after he was elected by a popular vote as well and the Republicans lost congress. It will happen again.

Voters have now voted for the return of chaos. Based on Trump’s agenda, chaos is exactly  what we will get with millions getting hurt in the process. This is what happens when the big lie replaces reality.

The link to a related article is here:

Der Führer Trump’s Radical Second-Term Agenda: An Imperial Presidency Wielding  Executive Power In Unprecedented Ways Reflecting American Fascism; Election News Updates

 

2024 Veterans Day Dinelli Family Tribute

Each Veterans day, I am compelled to pay tribute to members of my family who have given so much and sacrificed so much to protect our freedoms and to protect this great country of ours. All these family members were born and lived in New Mexico, two were born in Chacon, New Mexico and the rest raised and educated in Albuquerque.

One gave the ultimate sacrifice during time of war.

My father Paul Dinelli and my Uncle Pete Dinelli, for whom I was named after, both served in the US Army during World War II when the United States went to war with Italy, Germany and Japan. The United State was at war with Italy during World War II. My father and uncle were first generation born Americans and the sons of Italian immigrants who settled in Albuquerque in the year 1900 to live the American dream. My Uncle Pete Dinelli was killed in action when he stepped on a land mine. My father Paul Dinelli was a disabled American Veteran when he returned to Albuquerque after World War II.

My uncles Fred Fresques and Alex Fresques, my mother’s two brothers, also saw extensive combat in World War II. My Uncle Alex Freques served in England and was in the Air Force. My uncle Fred Fresques saw extensive action in the US Army infantry to the point that he refused to talk about what he saw to anyone. My Uncle Fred was awarded 3 bronze stars and the purple heart for his war time service.

After the war, Uncle Fred returned to Albuquerque and raised his family in Barelas. Over many years, my Uncle Fred was active in the Barelas Community Center and was a trainer for the “Golden Gloves” competition teaching young adults the sport of boxing.

My father in law, George W. Case, who passed away in 2015  at the age 93, served in the United States Navy during World War II and saw action while serving on a destroyer. My father in law George Case was so proud of his service that he wore a World War II Veterans cap every day the last few years of his life. After the war, my father in law George Case returned to Albuquerque was married to my mother in law Laurel Del Castillo for 50 years, raised a family of 4 girls. George eventually owned a liquor store for a few years and then went on to build, own and operate the Old Town Car wash and was in the car wash industry for a number of years.

My nephew Dante Dinelli, was born and raised in Albuquerque and joined the service a few years after graduating from Cibola High School. Dante served 20 + years in the US Navy, retired as a Chief Petty Officer and then  worked in a civilian capacity for the Navy.

My two nephews, Matthew Barnes and Brandon Barnes, the sons of my younger sister, Pauline and my brother in law Marvin, who is an APD Police officer, were born and raised in Albuquerque and went to Bosque Prep. Both Mathew and Brandon are in the United States Marine Corps and both are climbing the promotion ladder. My nephew Major Brandon Barnes is a graduate of the US Naval Academy.  My nephew Lt. Colonel Matthew Barnes graduated from UNM with honors and served a tour in Afghanistan.

To all the wonderful and courageous men and women who have served and continue to serve our country to protect and secure the promise of freedom and the ideals upon which the United States was founded upon, and to those who made the ultimate sacrifice, I thank you for your service to our Country.

Your service and sacrifices will never be forgotten. God bless you all and God Bless the United States and all of our freedoms you fought for to protect this great democracy.