Each year, the “Point in Time” (PIT) survey is conducted to determine how many people experience homelessness on a given night, and to learn more about their specific needs. The PIT survey is conducted on only one night to determine how many people experience homelessness and to learn more about their specific needs. The PIT count is done in communities across the country in both urban and rural areas, and counting both sheltered and unsheltered homeless people.

The PIT count is the official number of homeless reported by communities to the federal Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) for funding and to help understand the extent of homelessness at the city, state, regional and national levels.

HOMELESSNESS DEFINED

The City of Albuquerque contracts with The New Mexico Coalition to End Homelessness to conduct the annual PIT survey. In even-numbered years, only homeless people who stay in shelters are counted. In odd-numbered years, a more comprehensive count is conducted counting people wherever they can be found including people sleeping in cars, in parks, beneath underpasses, commercial entry ways, alleys and anywhere they can be found.

According to city officials, The PIT count requires the use of the HUD definition of “homelessness” and counts only people who are sleeping in a shelter, in a transitional housing program, or outside in places not meant for human habitation. Those people who are not counted are those who do not want to participate in the survey, who are sleeping in motels that they pay for themselves, or who are doubled up with family or friends.

HUD defines homelessness as “an individual or family who lacks a fixed, regular and adequate nighttime residence, or has a primary nighttime residence that is a public or private place not meant for human habitation, or is living in a publicly or privately operated shelter.”

HUD defines “chronic homelessness” as “a person who has been homeless for one year, or has had four episodes of homelessness over three years with the combined episodes adding up to one year, and has a disabling condition that makes it difficult to obtain housing.”

According to the New Mexico Coalition To End Homelessness, the cause of homelessness and the number of homelessness can be described as follows:

“Homelessness is caused by poverty and a lack of affordable housing. Homelessness has grown dramatically since the 1970’s due primarily to the steady decrease in public benefits for people living in poverty including welfare payments and public housing. In part because of the decrease in spending for public housing, there has been a steady decline in affordable housing. According to the National Coalition to End Homelessness, between 1970 and 1995, the gap between the number of low-income renters and the amount of affordable housing units in the U.S. went from almost no gap to a shortage of 4.4 million affordable housing units.

People who experience homelessness in New Mexico include families with children, people who are working at low-wage jobs, people suffering from mental illness, those with substance abuse problems, migrant workers, runaway or throwaway teens, victims of domestic violence and veterans. In other words, people who experience homelessness are a diverse group of people with a variety of factors contributing to their homelessness.”

2020 PIT REPORT STATISTICS RELEASED

On January 8, 2020, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) report released the annual Homeless Assessment Report to Congress containing the statistics for Albuquerque and New Mexico.

The link to the report is here:

https://www.hudexchange.info/resource/5948/2019-ahar-part-1-pit-estimates-of-homelessness-in-the-us/

NATIONAL “POINT IN TIME” HOMELESS COUNT

The PIT survey found that an estimated 567,715 people nationwide, both sheltered and unsheltered, were identified as homeless which is a 2.7% increase over 2018. Overall homelessness declined in 29 states and the District of Columbia, but increased in 21 states.

Nationwide, 396,045 people experienced homelessness as individuals, meaning they did not have children with them. Individuals made up 70% of the total homeless population. Half of those who experienced homelessness as individuals were staying in sheltered locations.

According to the HUD report, the number of unsheltered homeless people nationally rose by 8.7%, which includes increases of 15% among unsheltered women and 43% among people who identify as transgender.

California has 53% of all unsheltered homeless people in the country, with 108,432 people living on the streets. California’s homeless numbers are nearly 9 times higher than the number of unsheltered homeless people in Florida, which had the second highest count at 12,476.

According to the report, African Americans “accounted for 40% of all people experiencing homelessness in 2019, despite being 13% of the U.S. population.”

The number of homeless Veterans went down. Compared to 2009 numbers there were 40% fewer homeless veterans nationwide during 2019. The number of homeless veterans in 2019 shows a 2% decline from 2018. In raw numbers that means 36,282 fewer homeless veterans than there were in 2009. The decline was attributed to partnerships between HUD and the Department of Veterans Affairs in funding supportive housing programs for veterans.

NEW MEXICO “POINT IN TIME” HOMELESS COUNT

According to the PIT, New Mexico had the nation’s largest percentage increase in homelessness from 2018 to 2019 in the nation with an increase of 27%. New Mexico also had a 57.6% increase in chronic homelessness last year, also the highest in the nation. The percentage increase in Albuquerque’s homeless population alone rose by 15%. In New Mexico there were 2,464 homeless people in 2019 and of that total, 1,283 persons, or about 52%, were chronically homeless.

ALBUQUERQUE “POINT IN TIME” HOMELESS COUNT

The New Mexico Coalition to End Homelessness was contracted by the City of Albuquerque to conduct the annual PIT count. The Coalition puts the number of homeless people in Albuquerque at 1,524 sheltered and unsheltered individuals. This 1,524 is 206 more than were counted in 2017 when 1,318 homeless people were counted in the city limits.

CITY’S NUMBER OF HOMELESS MUCH HIGHER

Under the PIT count, only homeless people who stay in shelters are counted in even-numbered years. Both sheltered and unsheltered homeless people are counted in odd-numbered years. Only those homeless people who can be located are counted, either sheltered or unsheltered, as well as only those who agree to participate in the survey. A 100% accuracy number cannot be determined, only an overall estimate.

The nonprofit Rock At Noon Day offers meals and other services to the homeless. Noon Day Executive Director Danny Whatley believes that based on Noon Day observations, the number of homeless people in Albuquerque is likely between 4,000 and 4,500. What is alarming is that according to Whatley, the fastest-growing segments are senior citizens and millennials defined ad ages 23 to 38 in 2019.

Government agencies and nonprofits report that the city’s homeless numbers are greater than the 1,524 found and the number of homeless in Albuquerque approaches 4,500 in any given year.

Albuquerque Public Schools (APS) is New Mexico’s largest school district, serving more than a fourth of the state’s students and nearly 84,000 students. APS spokeswoman Monica Armenta stated the number of homeless children enrolled in district schools, meaning kids from families that have no permanent address, has consistently ranged from 3,200 to 3,500. Johanna King another APS spokesperson said the number includes people who live in motels or who are doubled up with family or friends. APS serves many students in need with nearly two-thirds qualifying for the federal school meals program. The APS school district serves 29,000 breakfast per school day and 41,000 lunches per school day.

City officials have said the number of homeless in Albuquerque may be as much as 5,000. The centralized citywide system known as the Coordinated Entry System that the city uses to track the homeless and fill supportive housing openings reports that approximately 5,000 households experienced homelessness last year.

Links to news stories can be found here:

https://www.abqjournal.com/1408348/nms-rise-in-homelessness-tops-nation-hud-reports-27-increase-in-one-year.html

https://www.abqjournal.com/1355819/annual-count-shows-citys-homeless-numbers-up.html

DESPERATE NEED FOR BEHAVIORAL HEALTH CARE SERVICES

Lisa Huval, deputy director for Housing and Homelessness for the Albuquerque Family and Community Services Department, when asked what was the reason for the increases in homelessness in the City and State, had this to say:

“One of the driving factors in the increase in chronically homeless people in New Mexico is what happened to our behavioral health system under the previous governor, with the dismantling of the behavioral health infrastructure as we knew it amid accusations of Medicaid fraud “This forced a number of providers to close their doors and caused lots of people to lose access to services. In many ways, we’re still recovering from that. … [Another part of the story] , is our state’s struggle with funding and supporting behavioral health programs at the scale they’re needed, and with folks being able to get into housing and being able to stay in housing.”

In June 2013, under the direction of the former Republican Governor, the Human Services Department (HSD) cut off Medicaid funding to 15 behavioral health nonprofits operating in New Mexico. In 2014, more than 160,000 New Mexicans received behavioral health services, with most of those services funded by Medicaid, according to the Human Services Department.

After the audits were completed, the former Republican Administration said that the outside audit showed more than $36 million in over billing, as well as mismanagement and possible fraud. Under the orders of the Republican Governor, Human Services Department agency brought in 5 Arizona providers to take over from New Mexico providers.

In early 2016, following exhaustive investigations, the Attorney General cleared all 15 of the healthcare providers of any wrongdoing and exonerated all of them of fraud. Even though the NM Attorney General found no fraud and cleared the nonprofits of fraud, the damage had been done to the nonprofits. With the Medicaid funding freeze, many of the 15 nonprofits could not continue and just went out of business leaving many patients without a behavioral health service provider.

Lawsuits against the state were initiated by 15 mental health care providers. The administration of Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham has announced it has entered into settlement agreements with at least 10 of the behavioral health care providers whose Medicaid funding was frozen in 2013.

EFFORTS TO BUILD FACILITIES

On November 5, voters approved general obligation bonds of $14 million for a city operated 24-7 homeless shelter that will house upwards of 300.

The 24-hour, 7 day a week facility to temporarily shelter the homeless within the city is critical toward reducing the number of homeless in the city. The city owned shelter would assist an estimated 300 homeless residents and connect them to other services intended to help secure permanent housing. The new facility would serve all populations, men, women, and families, and a “clearing house” function.
The city facility would have on-site case managers that would guide residents toward addiction treatment, housing vouchers and other available resources. According city officials, the new homeless shelter would replace the existing West Side Emergency Housing Center, the former jail on the far West Side.

The City is seeking another $14 million in capital funding from the 2020 New Mexico Legislature to build phase two of the city homeless shelter.

On January 13, 2020, the New Mexico Coalition to End Homelessness released a report stating that a one-time $262 million to build permanent supportive housing and fund short-term rental assistance will allow New Mexico to get another $30 million in federal dollars and end homelessness for an estimated 15,000 to 20,000 people across the state.

BERNALILLO COUNTY BEHAVIORAL HEALTH TAX COLLECTED BUT FEW PROGRAMS FUNDED

On Feb. 26, 2015, the Bernalillo County Commission approved a 1/8 % gross receipts tax increase on a 3-2 vote to fund new behavioral and mental health services to improve access to mental and behavioral health care services in the county. The tax generates approximately $20 million annually.

When enacted, the county commission announced the intent for the tax was to invest the funding “in proven ways to better manage the high cost of addiction, homelessness and mental health problems”. According to a county commission announcement, “these issues impact families throughout the community and drive up the cost of public services, especially at the Metropolitan Detention Center.” The gross receipts tax costs shoppers one cent on a $10 purchase of goods and services.

https://www.bernco.gov/uploads/files/BH%20news%20release%20PDF.pdf

The 1/8th% gross receipts tax was supposed to be used for the purpose of providing more mental and behavioral health services for adults and children in the Albuquerque and Bernalillo County area. The intent is to provide a safety net system for those in need of mental health not otherwise funded in New Mexico.

When the Bernalillo County Commission approved the tax, it failed to develop a plan on how all the money would be used, including not identifying services to be provides, location of facilities and qualifiers to obtain the services offered. As a result of having no spending plan or identifying priorities, the tax has been collected but not spent. Since enactment of the tax in 2015, the tax has generated $91.6 million. Bernalillo County has approved a mere $20 million toward Behavioral Health Initiative projects with $70 million in tax revenue having accumulated but not spent.

The county has earmarked the bulk of what it has amassed for one-time expenditures. Those expenditures include $30 million for a new crisis triage center, $12 million for supportive housing and $4 million for the Bernalillo County CARE campus, formerly known as the Metropolitan Assessment and Treatment Services center, or MATS. The renovations to the CARE campus when complete will create an outpatient behavioral health clinic and living room space for peer-to-peer counseling sessions.

In November, 2019, the Bernalillo County Commission approved a resolution that permits “stakeholders, providers, community members, staff, commissioners, or other interested parties” to propose behavioral health service ideas through a website. Up until now, only county staff had been authorized to propose behavioral health service ideas. All program appropriations will require final approval of the County Commission. Under the new ordinance passed, each idea from stakeholders, providers, community members, staff and commissioners will go through a vetting process. A county commission appointed committee will ensure each proposal meets the criteria for an expenditure based on the behavioral health tax language approved by voters. A separate subcommittee of stakeholders and subject matter experts will also review the idea and recommend the next steps.

ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY

New Mexico having the nation’s largest percentage increase in overall homelessness at 27% and with 57.6% increase in chronic homelessness can only be considered shocking. It is yet another tragic statistic for the state. New Mexico is once again at the very top of another very bad list which includes poverty, violent crime and drug addiction.

One of the cruelest things that former Republican Governor “She Who Shall Not Be Named” did was when she ordered an “audit” of mental health services by nonprofits in New Mexico based on questionable information. The audit eventually devastated New Mexico’s behavioral health system. The process to rebuild the state’s behavioral health care services will be a slow process that no doubt will take years as will reducing homelessness.

According to some reports, approximately 80% of the cities chronic homeless are suffering from mental illness. The city does provide extensive services to the homeless that include social services, mental or behavioral health care services, substance abuse treatment and prevention, winter shelter housing, rent assistance and affordable housing development, just to mention a few.

It is extremely disappointing that Bernalillo County after enacting the behavioral health tax on February 17, 2015, and more than $90 million collected in taxes, very little progress has been made with implementing needed mental health care programs. What is difficult to comprehend is that after 4 years of collecting the tax, the County only now is trying to figure out how to spend all the taxes that have been collected.

After more than four years of collecting the tax and collecting $90 million in taxpayer funding, the County Commission needs to step up the process, be far more aggressive in identifying and implementing behavioral health programs so desperately needed after the decimation of the all the programs by the former Republican Governor.

The City of Albuquerque, Bernalillo County and the State of New Mexico have a moral obligation to assist the homeless, especially those who suffer from chronic mental illness. More needs to be done by the city, county and state to reduce the ever-increasing numbers of homeless. The only way all three are going to be able to reduce the number of homeless is to reach a viable consensus and implement an aggressive plan on how to reduce the number of homeless. This will mandate the city, county and the state to work with virtually all the charitable providers, “pooling of resources” and work to get arrive at an action plan.

A good start of pooling of resources will be for the 2020 New Mexico legislature and Bernalillo County to allocate sufficient funding to help the city build the 24-7 homeless shelter and to establish perhaps a county wide shelter.

https://www.petedinelli.com/2018/08/30/we-have-moral-obligation-to-help-our-homeless/
____________________________

POSTSCRIPT: CITY OF ALBUQUERQUE SERVICES TO THE HOMELESS

The Family and Community Service Division of the City of Albuquerque has an annual approved operating budget of $79.7 million. The city spends $8 million a year to provide 775 vouchers for rental assistance and to move homeless people from the street into housing. In the 2019-2020 approved city budget, an additional $2 million was added to the fund which allowed another 125 to 150 people to get into housing.

https://www.petedinelli.com/2019/10/29/compromise-consensus-and-concessions-needed-for-city-homeless-shelter-vote-yes-on-bond-question-2/

Highlights to the increases in social services provided by the Family and Community Service Division contained in the 2019-2020 approved budget include:

$15 million in affordable housing contracts.
$8.2 million in homeless services.
$5.7 million in mental health and substance abuse contracts.
$18.2 million for homeless and behavioral health programs. Prior to the enactment of the gross receipts tax increase, these programs were originally projected to be cut by $2 million.
$1 million and over in funding of early intervention and prevention programs, domestic violence shelters, domestic violence services, sexual assault services, services to abused and for neglected and abandoned youth.

https://www.petedinelli.com/2018/04/02/billion-dollar-budget-reflects-dramatic-change-in-city-priorities/

The City of Albuquerque has at least 10 separate homeless service provider locations throughout the city. The entire general fund budget for the Department of Family and Community Services is approximately $41 million. The $41 million is not just exclusive funding for services to the homeless.

The service offered by the Family and Community Services Department are directly provided by the city or by contract with nonprofit providers. The services include social services, mental/behavioral health, homeless services, health care for the homeless, substance abuse treatment and prevention, multi-service centers, public housing, rent assistance, affordable housing development, and fair housing, just to mention a few.

The following homeless services are funded by the City of Albuquerque, HUD’s Continuum of Care grants, Emergency Shelter Grants, and other grants administered by the City of Albuquerque:

1. Emergency Shelters for short-term, immediate assistance for the homeless for men, women, families, emergency winter shelter and after-hours shelter. The city’s West Side Emergency Housing Center has up to 450 beds available. The shelter is now open year-round. The operating cost of the facility is $4.4 million a year.
2. Transitional Housing assistance designed to transition from homelessness to permanent housing.
3. Permanent Supportive Housing for homeless individuals dealing with chronic mental illness or substance abuse issues.
4. Childcare services for homeless families.
5. Employment Services and job placement for homeless persons.
6. Eviction Prevention or rental assistance and case management to prevent eviction and homelessness.
7. Health Care services for homeless individuals and families.
8. Meal program providing for homeless individuals and families in need.
9. Motel Vouchers or temporary vouchers for homeless individuals with immediate medical issues and families with children, where emergency shelters cannot accommodate them. The city spends $8 million a year to provide 775 vouchers for rental assistance and to move homeless people from the street into housing. In the 2019-2020 approved city budget, an additional $2 million was added to the fund which will allow another 125 to 150 people to get into housing.
10. The Albuquerque Heading Home program initiative which moves the most medically fragile and chronically homeless people off the streets and into permanent housing. Since its inception in 2011 to January, 2017, it has placed 650 people into housing that assists with housing and providing jobs.

The “Citizen Satisfaction Survey” is a research study commissioned by the City of Albuquerque to assess residents’ perceptions of the overall quality of life in Albuquerque, satisfaction with City services, and issues relating to crime, safety, and the economy. On January 21, the City of Albuquerque released the results of the 2019 study. The survey was of 607 adults living in Albuquerque and conducted November 8 to 24, 2019 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4% points.

The 2019 survey questionnaire consisted of 48 questions. The final survey report is 105 pages long and contains multiple bars and graphs to illustrate the results. The survey was done by Research and Polling, consider by many as the very best polling service as to accuracy in Albuquerque.

This blog article is a deep dive analysis of the survey results and what it may mean for Mayor Keller’s efforts to seek an second 4 year term in 2021.

You can review the entire survey at this link.

https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/6668008/FINAL-COA-Citizen-Survey.pdf

COMPARING 2019 RESULTS TO 2020 RESULTS

The major differences comparing the 2018 to the 2019 “Citizen Satisfaction Survey” can be summarized as follows:

DIRECTION OF THE CITY AND AS PLACE TO LIVE

Residents were asked if they are very hopeful, somewhat hopeful, somewhat concerned, or very concerned about the direction of the City in 2019. Short of half at 49% of residents say they felt either somewhat hopeful at 36% or very hopeful at 13% about the direction of the City. A nearly equal percentage of residents say they are either somewhat concerned at 26% or very concerned at 21% for a total of 47%.

The percentage of residents who say they were hopeful about the direction of the City fell dramatically from 68% last year to 49% while concern has risen from 29% to 47%

City residents were asked if they feel Albuquerque has become a better place to live in the past year, a worse place to live, or is about the same:

Nineteen percent of residents believe Albuquerque has become a better place to live in the past year, while nearly one-in-three, or 32%, residents feel it is become a worse place to live. Nearly half, 48%, the residents surveyed do not feel the quality of life in Albuquerque has changed in the past year.

Nearly half of the respondents, 47%, said Albuquerque has become a worse place to live due to more crime, crime rates increasing while 16% say there is more homelessness.

CRIME

Not at all surprising, rime was cited among those who said the city is getting worse. On December 31, the Albuquerque Police Department (APD) officially recorded the 82 homicide for the city, an all-time record. It was on December 9, 2019, the city recorded its 74th homicide breaking the previous record of 72 murders set in 2017. Before 2017, the last time the City had the highest number of homicides in one year was in 1996 with 70 murders.

A solid majority of 65% said they felt safe while outside alone in their neighborhoods at night. However, the number who said they feel “somewhat” or “very” unsafe increased from 21% a year ago to 28% in 2019. For opinions on feeling safe in specific quadrants and areas of the of the city see the postscript below or page 28 of survey entitled:

“PERCEIVED SAFETY OF DIFFERENT PLACES IN THE CITY OF ALBUQUERQUE”.

Residents were asked if they feel different types of crimes in Albuquerque are going up, going down, or not changing. 64% of residents believe violent crimes are going up and 62% believe that crimes involving guns are going up. Just over half at 53% of the residents surveyed believe crimes against children are going up compared to 11% who feel these are going down and 26% who feel this is not changing.

Approximately half at 51% of the survey respondents believe auto thefts are going up, while 17% say auto thefts are going down and 27% feel this is not changing. The plurality of residents at 43%, feel home burglaries are going up in Albuquerque, compared to 18% who say home burglaries are going down and 31% say this is not changing.

Close to half of residents, 49%, believe the Albuquerque Police Department is doing a good job handling public safety and responding quickly to emergencies, up from 45% in 2018. However, more than half of the respondents said they feel that violent crime, crimes against children, crimes involving guns and auto thefts are rising.

The overwhelming majority of those surveyed, or 84%, agreed Albuquerque Fire Rescue is doing a good job, up from 83% in 2018.

THE CITY ECONOMY

Over two-fifths or 42% of residents agree that the City of Albuquerque is doing a good job of attracting out of-state companies to open in the City. 25% of residents disagree while 27% have neutral or mixed feelings.

Approximately 31% of the residents surveyed agree the City of Albuquerque is doing a good job of helping local businesses and entrepreneurs create jobs, though 26% disagree and 33% have neutral or mixed feelings.

Residents are twice as likely to disagree at 43% than to agree at 20% the City of Albuquerque is doing a good job of keeping young local talent from leaving the City. Twenty-eight percent of voters have neutral or mixed feelings.

CITY HOMELESS SHELTER

With respect to the city’s handling of homelessness, the survey revealed 35% of those surveyed felt the city was doing “very poor.” Only 19% agreed that the city is doing a good job providing treatment for those with substance abuse problems and support for those with mental health issues.

On November 5, 2019, voters approved $14 million to build a 24-hour, 7 day a week homeless shelter. The City is also requesting $14 million from the New Mexico legislature for phase two of the project. The Mayor and the City Council have not decided on a location, but the wants to break ground on the centralized homeless shelter next winter.

On the issue of where to locate a new homeless shelter, Downtown had the most support, with 27%. Another 18% said it should go near the Veterans Affairs hospital, while 15% preferred a location near the University of New Mexico Hospital.

https://www.abqjournal.com/1412097/abq-residents-weigh-in-on-shelter-stadium-in-survey.html

BUILDING NEW SOCCER STADIUM AND PREFERRED LOCATION

In “Citizen Satisfaction Survey” half of the respondents were asked if they supported or opposed building a new soccer stadium for New Mexico United games. A solid majority of 61% saying they favored it. The other half of the survey takers were asked if they supported or opposed building a new “multipurpose arena” for use by both New Mexico United and other events beyond soccer, and 67% said they supported it. Support for using public funds for a new stadium or multipurpose arena was 50% while 38% of respondent said they opposed using public funds for the facility or opposed the facility altogether.

Supporters of a stadium or multipurpose arena chose by an overwhelming margin the UNM sports complex area as the best site. Of five locations presented, 48% preferred building it around the UNM athletic venues, with Downtown and the West Side in a tie for distant second, each getting support from 12% of the respondents.

https://www.abqjournal.com/1412097/abq-residents-weigh-in-on-shelter-stadium-in-survey.html

TRANSPORTATION GLARING OMISSION IN CITIZENS SATISFACTION SURVEY

The Citizens Satisfaction Survey questionnaire consists of 48 questions and can be found on pages 87 to 103 of the final report. The research study was commissioned by the City of Albuquerque in order to “assess residents’ perceptions of the overall “quality of life” in Albuquerque, satisfaction with City services, and issues relating to crime, safety, and the economy.”

One major city service that affects overall quality of life that was totally ignored in the survey with not a single question asked about was the city’s road system and mass transportation. No questions were asked about bus services, roads, bridge and street maintenance and citizens’ problems and concerns commuting around the west-side, commuting back and forth from the west side to the east side of the city and all-around town. No questions were asked about such topics as:

1. The controversial ART Bus project and if it should be expanded as Mayor Keller is suggesting or if it should be abandoned with the platforms dedicated to another purpose

2. The city’s existing bus system and if it is meeting the city’s needs and what would make it more attractive for use

3. The need for more bridges across the Rio Grande or expansion of existing bridges

4. Albuquerque’s neighborhood and main street maintenance

5. The city’s traffic light control system and the increase use of round-abouts

6. Overall driving conditions and street safety

7. Neighborhood and main thorough fair street lighting

REACTION TO SURVEY RESULTS BY KELLER ADMINISTRATION

Matt Ross, a spokesman for Mayor Tim Keller, downplayed the survey results that citizens surveyed reported that they feel “somewhat” or “very” hopeful about the city’s direction and it dropping by 19% within a year from 68% to 49%. Ross noted that the survey was conducted in November when there was intense media coverage of the city breaking the all-time year record for murders in the city. According to Ross, there was “no question” that crime drove the responses in November and he said:

“Our general reaction to the poll is it’s a snapshot in time.”

https://www.abqjournal.com/1412094/citizen-hopefulness-tumbles-in-albuquerque.html

ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY

In 2017, candidate Tim Keller campaigned to be elected mayor on the platform of implementing the U.S. Department of Justice-mandated reforms, increasing the size of the Albuquerque Police Department, returning to community-based policing and promising to bring down skyrocketing crime rates. On November 15, 2017, Democratic Albuquerque Mayor Tim Keller was elected in a runoff securing a 62.2% vote over his Republican opponent Dan Lewis who secured 37.8% of the vote. Only 29% of registered voters actually voted for a total 97,419 votes cast in the Mayor’s race. Keller was sworn into office on December 1, 2017. The 2018 Citizen’s Satisfaction Survey was done less than one year into Mayor Tim Keller’s first term.

Mayor Tim Keller once sworn into office hired his own command staff, reorganized APD and he has been given everything he has wanted from city council for public safety, and then some. For two years, Keller tried to take credit for crime rates being on the decline. It turns out the numbers were inflated, with Keller blaming it on antiquated APD software. The city recorded 82 homicides in 2019, an all-time record.

KELLER’S HONEYMOON OVER

According to Research & Polling President Brian Sanderoff, the 2019 results likely reflect the “honeymoon” period for Mayor Tim Keller is over and people ar very concerned about crime and the homeless. Sanderoff further said the “hopeful” results reflected in the 2018 were surprisingly high. The “hopeful” results were a likely carry over from Keller’s landslide win. The 2019 survey was taken about midway through Keller’s first term . The 2019 survey reflects a more even balance between those who are hopeful and those who are concerned. Sanderoff’s summation of the recent survey is that crime and homelessness clearly loom large in the minds of citizens and he put it this way: “Year after year, people get more frustrated if they perceive crime as not declining and so the cumulative effect will increase people’s frustration, and that will show up in the polling data.”

Any poll is always considered by the news media, public officials, elected officials and those running for office as a “snapshot in time” and to determine momentum of a candidate. Candidates for office and politicians know you need to examine similar polls over a period of time to get a clear picture. The problem is, the “Citizen Satisfaction Survey” was more than just a poll, but a detail survey of people’s attitudes.

It’s a bogus argument and wishful thinking by the Keller progressive loyalists if they think the survey was a “snapshot in time”. The truth is, if the survey was just a “snap shot in time” as Mayor’s spokesman Matt Ross said, and if you follow his logic, the snapshot got “blood red” as the homicide rate became worse in December with the year ending with the most homicides ever recorded in one year by the city.

The Citizen Satisfaction Survey was a survey that dealt with how citizens feel on a large number of major issues and not just the candidacy of a person in a single political race nor the job performance of Keller. It is possible that Keller still has a high percentage of people who feel he is doing a good job, but that job approval rating has probably gone down. Research and Polling does all the polling for the ABQ Journal and you can expect the Journal to do a poll on Mayor Keller’s and Governor Lujan Grisham’s approval ratings, assuming such a poll has not already been done.

CITIZENS NOT “ONE ALBUQUERQUE” AS TO SATISFACTION

Ever since Mayor Tim Keller assumed office on December 1, 2017, he has taken political showmanship to all new levels. Keller is known for his photo ops and press conferences, attending protest rallies to speak at, attending marches, attending heavy metal concerts to introduce the band, running in track meets and participating in exhibition football games as the quarterback and enjoying reliving his high school glory days, and posting pictures, press conferences and videos on his FACEBOOK page.

Since being elected in November 2017, Mayor Tim Keller has implemented a public relations and marketing campaign to re brand the city image with his “One ABQ” slogan an using the slang nickname “BURQUE” for the city. Keller came up with a strained logo that rearranges the letters in the city’s name to reflect the slang name “BURQUE” in red letters with t-shirts and created a web page with slick videos promoting the city.

Since taking office, Keller has spent more than $312,000 dollars on his “One Albuquerque” positive image campaign and re branding the city as BURQUE. The City spent over $53,000 on the “One Albuquerque” letter sculpture that rearranges the letters in the city’s name to reflect the slang name “BURQUE. $54,000 was spent on a “One Burque” sculpture.

Last year’s Citizens Satisfaction survey asked residents their “overall feelings about the term BURQUE to describe the city of Albuquerque.” The results found city residents evenly divided as follows:

28% have an unfavorable opinion.

28% have a favorable opinion.

35% felt neutral about using it.

9% stated they did not know or would not say how they felt.

https://www.petedinelli.com/2019/09/04/so-whats-in-the-name-burque-over-300000-and-counting/

This year’s “Citizens Satisfaction Survey” revealed almost half of citizens at 49% say they felt either somewhat hopeful at 36% or very hopeful at 13% about the direction of the City. The percentage of residents who say they were hopeful about the direction of the City fell dramatically from 68% last year to 49% this year while concern for the city has risen from 29% to 47%. The Citizens Satisfaction Survey reflects that the city is a long way away from being the “ONE ALBUQUERQUE” Keller promotes.

KELLER’S RE ELECTION BID

Mayor Tim Keller made it known on election night November 5, 2019 in a radio interview he is seeking another 4-year term. About 4 months ago, a poll not released to the general public showed Keller at 62% approval rating, the same percentage he had when he was first elected. Keller was swept into office by a strong democratic party vote with a large base of support from the progressive wing of the Democratic Party.

With all the negative press on crime, the city’s high violent and murder rates, and the crime statistics fiasco, Keller’s popularity has likely dropped but no one knows for sure until a poll is actually taken. The constant mantra you hear from Keller supporters is that he “inherited a mess”, he has done a “good job” and needs more time. Keller loyalist quickly jump to his defense when anything remotely critical of his job performance is raised preferring to ignore his shortcomings.

No doubt Keller has upwards of a 95% name identification level within the city because of his never-ending public relations efforts. For that reason, Keller will have the tremendous advantage of incumbency and the almost daily press coverage that comes with it, a built-in campaign organization of city staff where many will likely take a leave of absence to help collect 3,000 qualifying signatures and to collect the $5.00 qualifying donations to qualify for $660,000 in public finance. Keller’s long time paid political consult who has been with Keller since he ran for State Auditor, now works for the city being paid $80,000 a year. One of Keller’s former campaign managers when he successfully ran for State Senate is a professional political consultant and headed up the measured finance committee that raised over $600,000 to spend to promote Keller, and the same can be expected in 2021.

Keller will in all likely again seek public finance in 2021 as he did in 2017 and say he is “walking the talk” opposing dark money and big donor money in politics by being a public financed candidate while at the same time giving a “wink of an eye” of encouragement to measured finance committees that will raise $1 million or more on his behalf. In his 2017 bid to become Mayor, Keller was the only candidate out of 8 that qualified for public finance and given a total of $506,254 in public finance and he collected $37,870 in “in kind” donations.

Notwithstanding being a public finance candidate, Keller had three (3) measured finance committees that either raised money directly to spend on his behalf or that indirectly spent money and supported him financially. ABQ Forward Together raised $663,000 for Keller, ABQFIREPAC, organized by the City’s local Fire Union raised $67,000 to help Kellerand Democrat City Council candidates. The measured finance committee ABQ Working Families also supported Tim Keller and raised $122,000.

Broken down, at least $1,169,254 minimum was spent on Tim Keller’s 2017 campaign for Mayor ($506,254 public finance money + $663,000 ABQ Forward = $1,169,254 total). Broken down further, the maximum of $1,358,254 was spent on Tim Keller’s campaign for Mayor ($506,254 public finance money + $663,000 ABQ Forward + $67,000 ABQFIREPAC + $122,000 ABQ Working Families = $1,358,254.)

https://www.petedinelli.com/2017/11/13/tim-kellers-1-3-million-campaign-for-mayor/

https://www.petedinelli.com/2019/06/12/make-qualifying-for-public-finance-easier-regulate-measured-finance-commitees-or-risk-having-another-1-3-million-race-for-mayor/

2021 WILDCARD AND OPPOSITION LIKELY

A big wild card for the 2021 Mayor election and the municipal election is that it has been moved from the October ballot to the November ballot because of the new “local elections” law. The Mayor’s race will be on the same November ballot with all local elections as was the case last year. The voter turnout will be much higher as a consequence and progressive Democrats may not be as motivated to vote for Keller as they were in 2017 after 8 years of Republican leadership.

Two term Bernalillo County Sheriff Manny Gonzalez has made it know he is running for Mayor in 2021 against Keller. The second Gonzales said he would be running, Keller supporters went into overdrive and dismissed his candidacy pointing to the Keller’s 62% approval rating and saying the Sheriff will be a one issue candidate.

Sheriff Gonzalez is well liked, has won to terms as Sheriff, but will likely divide the Democrat vote that will allow others a shot at winning, much like what happened to Marty Chavez and Richard Romero with Richard Berry winning in 2009 on the first ballot. Another problem is the Sheriff will be viewed as a one issue candidate of law and order and his opposition to police lapel cameras will very problematic, especially when it comes to the Department of Justice reforms and the federal consent decree. Then again, a law and order candidate will appeal to an angry population upset with our high crime rates.

HOLDING ONTO HIGH APPROVAL RATINGS DIFFICULT FOR ANY MAYOR

Notwithstanding, credibility and popularity are difficult to hold onto by any Mayor year after year, just ask former Mayors Ken Schultz, Jim Baca, Marty Chavez and Richard Berry, all who had tremendous popularity but ended their careers as Mayor with extremely low approval ratings. When it comes to all Albuquerque Mayors, they may win reelection but go onto having their political careers ended as was the case with both Marty Chavez and Richard Berry.

Just one major controversy can end the career of any Mayor, just ask David Rusk and his failure to cut weeds, Richard Berry with his ART Bus Project and the APD shooting of homeless camper James Boyd. Jim Baca and Ken Schultz did not make it into a runoff serving one term with each coming in 3rd for re-election. Ken Schultz years later has the dubious distinction of becoming a convicted federal felon for his role in the Metropolitan Courthouse scandal.

What is very troubling is that all the increases in APD budget, personnel and new programs are not having any effect on bringing down the violent crime and murder rates. The city is no longer safe on many levels in virtually all quadrants of the city, despite Chief Michael Geier saying “Generally, it’s a safe city”. It is no longer an issue of not having the money, personnel or resources, but of a failed personnel resource management issue.

CONCLUSION

Comparing all the 2018 to the 2019 “Citizen Satisfaction Survey” results , the biggest take away that can be made is that the people of Albuquerque are increasingly becoming restless as a result of the city’s high crime rates. After more than two years in office, they are expecting results from Mayor Tim Keller and many feel he is not delivering on his promises. The fact that Research and Polling, the most accurate polling company in New Mexico, did the survey explains the spin by the Keller Administration calling it a “snapshot in time”, which is what the politicians say when they are down in the polls.

The 2019 Citizens Satisfaction Survey is a major red flag relating to Keller’s job performance. If Keller continues to ignore the signs that his APD management team are not cutting it, Keller runs a significant risk of being just another one term Mayor. Even progressives want results and Keller is not delivering when it comes to reducing our high crime rates and the economy. Others will run when they see more blood in the water as Keller’s popularity declines. Never underestimate the power of a crisis mishandled to bring down a Mayor. The city’s high violent and murder rates are Keller’s Achilles Heel and saying he needs more time to fix things he inherited is not much of a campaign slogan.

_____________________________

POSTSCRIPT

The 105 page “Citizen Satisfaction Survey” contains an executive summary in 8 major categories:

1. FEELINGS OF PERSONAL SAFETY,
2. CHANGES IN CRIME,
3. HOMELESSNESS, SUBSTANCE ABUSE AND MENTAL HEALTH ISSUES,
4. ALBUQUERQUE POLICE DEPARTMENT
5. ALBUQUERQUE FIRE RESCUE
6. THE ECONOMY
7. YOUTH PROGRAMS
8. MULTIPURPOSE ARENA/SOCCER STADIUM

Following are edited summaries:

1. FEELINGS OF PERSONAL SAFETY

“Overall, the vast majority (87%) of residents say they feel either very safe (57%) or somewhat safe (30%) when alone outside in their neighborhood during the day.
The majority (65%) also feel either very safe (28%) or somewhat safe (37%) when alone outside in their neighborhood at night (28% feel unsafe alone at night).

When residents who feel each of the different areas of the City are unsafe were asked (unaided) to give the reasons why, they are most apt to mention homelessness, drugs/drug use, and a high crime rate.”

2. PERCEIVED CHANGES IN CRIME

“Residents were asked if they feel different types of crimes in Albuquerque are going up, going down, or not changing. Overall, 64% of residents believe violent crimes are going up and 62% feel that crimes involving guns are going up.

Just over half (53%) of the residents surveyed believe crimes against children are going up compared to 11% who feel these are going down and 26% who feel this is not changing.
Approximately half (51%) the survey respondents believe auto thefts are going up, while 17% say auto thefts are going down and 27% feel this is not changing.

The plurality of residents (43%) feel home burglaries are going up in Albuquerque, compared to 18% who say home burglaries are going down and 31% say this is not changing.”

3. HOMELESSNESS, SUBSTANCE ABUSE AND MENTAL HEALTH ISSUES

“Homelessness, substance abuse, and mental health are major issues facing many cities throughout the nation with no easy solutions. Just 13% of residents give the City positive marks for addressing the homelessness issue. The majority of residents (59%) feel the City is doing a poor job of addressing homelessness, while 26% give the City a mixed review on how it’s handling the issue.

Nineteen percent of residents also agree the City of Albuquerque is doing a good job of providing support for people with mental health issues, though 51% disagree. Although the City of Albuquerque is making considerable efforts to address these issues, many residents appear to be either unaware of what is being done, or do not believe the programs have been effective to date. All of these issues will take time and as the City continues to develop new programs and facilities to address these issues, public perceptions should change over time.”

4. ALBUQUERQUE POLICE DEPARTMENT

“When it comes to the Albuquerque Police Department, half the residents (49%) believe APD is doing a good job addressing public safety issues and making quick responses to emergencies, while 22% have mixed feelings and 27% do not believe APD is doing a good job in this regard. Overall, these results are similar to those observed last year. Residents are somewhat polarized when it comes to how well APD is doing when it comes to interacting with people who have substance abuse and mental health issues.

While 35% believe APD is doing a good job in their interaction with those who have substance abuse or mental health issues, 28% disagree, and another 28% have a neutral/mixed opinion. The survey results also show that 40% of City residents say the Albuquerque Police Department is doing a good job working with the U.S. Department of Justice to implement new policies and reforms designed to reduce the use of force and encourage policing that ensures residents’ constitutional rights. Approximately one-in-five residents (21%) rate APD poorly for implementing the new policies and reforms, while 27% have neutral/mixed feelings.”

5. ALBUQUERQUE FIRE RESCUE

Residents continue to view Albuquerque Fire Rescue highly as 84% of residents agree the Department is doing a good job responding to emergency medical services needs and making quick responses to medical emergencies, with 53% who strongly agree and just 3% who disagree. The majority of residents (55%) also agree that Albuquerque Fire Rescue is doing a good job interacting with people who have substance abuse and mental health issues, compared to 11% who disagree. It is interesting that 55% of residents feel Albuquerque Fire Rescue is doing a good job interacting with people who have substance abuse and mental health issues compared to 35% who feel APD is doing a good job interacting with this population.

6. THE ECONOMY

“Residents were read various statements relating to the City of Albuquerque and the economy, and for each one, asked to rate how strongly they either agree or disagree using a 5-point scale where 5 is strongly agree and 1 is strongly disagree.

20% agree the City of Albuquerque is doing a good job of keeping young local talent from leaving the city, compared to 43% who disagree (28% have neutral/mixed feelings) While the City has made strides in encouraging new businesses and economic development, the survey results show that many residents either believe more still needs to be done, or perhaps are not aware of what is being done to encourage more economic development.”

7. YOUTH PROGRAMS

“There is a perceived need for more before school, after school and summer programs for kids, as nearly three-in-four residents (74%) agree that more of these programs are needed, with 54% who strongly agree. Just 7% of residents do not agree that Albuquerque needs more before and after school programs and summer programs. Nearly nine-in-ten (84%) parents with children under the age of 18 feel more of these programs are needed.

Although there is a perceived need for more youth programs, there also appears to be a lack of knowledge about the programs that currently exist. Just two-fifths of the residents surveyed say they are aware the City offers summer and before and after school programs for kids. Among parents with children under 18 years of age, 64% say they are aware of these City programs for kids. Thirty-six percent of the parents with children under the age of 18 say they have kids who participate in the City summer and before and after school programs. Hispanic parents (45%) are much more likely than Anglo parents (26%) to say they have children who participate in the programs.”

8. MULTIPURPOSE ARENA/SOCCER STADIUM OR A PERFORMANCE ART CENTER

“There appears to be strong public support for building a new multipurpose arena that could house soccer games for New Mexico United, or a standalone soccer stadium. Two-thirds of survey respondents say they support building a new multi-purpose arena that could be used for New Mexico United soccer games and other events, compared to 24% who are opposed. Furthermore, 61% of respondents say they support a new standalone soccer stadium for New Mexico United, compared to 29% who are opposed.

In a separate question, residents were informed the City of Albuquerque is considering either building a new performing arts center or renovating existing facilities such as the KIVA Auditorium to bring in Broadway shows, popular musicians, and other national touring acts and further revitalize Downtown. They were then asked, if they would prefer that the City build a new performing arts center or renovate an existing facility, assuming the costs would be approximately the same. The majority of residents (55%) say they would prefer renovating an existing facility, while 30% would prefer building a new performing arts center.”

Jason Barker is an advocate for Safe Access New Mexico, an Affiliate of Americans For Safe Access. He is also a freelance writer for Cannabis News Journal and he is a medical cannabis patient in New Mexico. Mr. Baker’s work has focused solely on medical cannabis issues, decriminalization of cannabis, hemp policy and does not work on legalization of cannabis for non-medical purposes or other illicit drug issues. Mr. Barker is not paid or employed in the medical cannabis industry nor does he have any financial interest in the medical cannabis industry or in a future recreational cannabis industry. Mr. Baker lives in Albuquerque with his dog, Tecumseh, who has a very severe case of canine epilepsy.

DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed in this guest opinion column written by Jason Barker are those of Mr. Barker and do not necessarily reflect those of the www.petedinelli.com blog. Further, Mr. Baker has paid no consideration for its publication and has given his consent to publication. www.PeteDinelli.com has not been paid any compensation to publish the guest column.

Following is the guest column written by Mr. Baker was submitted to this blog for publication:

“This week, New Mexico’s citizen legislature returns to the Roundhouse in Santa Fe where all 112 legislators are gearing up for what is expected to be a fast and furious legislative session. The entire Legislature is also up for election later this year in November.

The Second Session of the 54th Legislature is only a 30 day session, limited to budgetary matters and those items placed on the governor’s agenda, or “call”, the Session will conclude on February 20th 2020 at noon. And for the second year in a row, the robust oil production in southeastern New Mexico is leaving the state flush with additional new budget money to the tune of $797 million.”

REVENUES FROM RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA NOT NEEDED

The last two weeks we have all seen the talk on the news and in the newspapers about the Governor’s agenda for the legislature with recreational cannabis legalization dominating those priorities in the news. Since legislators in the Roundhouse have $797 million coming in for the new budget year, there is absolutely no need to fast track recreational cannabis legalization for New Mexico in 2020 during a limited 30-day session.

Those are the two obvious reasons why legalization is not a legislative necessity in 2020 nor is New Mexico ready for legalization. The Governor has all that new money coming in and it is such a limited 30-day session. Also remember, last year the state had $1.2 billion come in from the oil boom and then in early December 2019, KOB 4 news reported that nearly $1 billion worth of capital outlay grant money was never allocated by lawmakers due to “lack of communication.”

DYSFUNCTIONAL “CITIZEN LEGISLATURE”

“With all that money coming in over those two years, the Governor has missed a huge opportunity and a chance to fix the biggest problem in the state: A dysfunctional “citizen legislature” that is more properly termed a “volunteer legislature” because our legislators are unpaid and they all must have outside jobs, businesses or other sources of income.

[It’s] … is also worth pointing out that none of the 11 current states with legal recreational cannabis did so with a legislature structured like New Mexico’s “volunteer legislature”. This makes the ethics of the legislative process much more important as our state tackles the legalization debate because our legislators are unpaid and they all must have outside jobs, businesses or other sources of income.”

MEDICAL CANNABIS IN SCHOOLS BILL

“The biggest problem with the Governor’s push for recreational cannabis legalization in 2020 is that doing so would defy Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham’s very own campaign promise made about legalization.

Amending and fixing the medical cannabis in school law should be a 2020 legislative priority before recreational cannabis legalization, according to that promise made by the Governor. I have even taken the liberty of writing an amended SB-204 mock bill, providing it to last year’s bill sponsors. Hopefully the Governor allows them to do their duty as elected officials.”

NM MEDICAL CANNABIS PROGRAM RESULTS IN INADEQUATE SUPPLY

“Today the New Mexico Medical Cannabis Program has over 80,257 registered participants with almost 300 of those participants being pediatric medical cannabis patients.

It makes complete sense for the state of New Mexico to know how much cannabis they will need to grow for the medical cannabis program before trying to legalize recreational cannabis. Right now, the state has no idea.

Another violation of the law happened in December 2019 when the Department of Health, the Medical Cannabis Program Office and the Medical Cannabis Advisory Board was unable to fulfill their duties and responsibilities for the program law. The advisory board shall convene at least twice per year and they did not have legal quorum for the December 2nd meeting.

New Mexico needs to fix the medical cannabis program before passing a recreational cannabis law, period.”

GOVERNOR’S WORKING GROUP RECOMMENDATIONS ADOPTS NEW MODEL

“The Governor’s Legalization Work Group recommends adopting a totally new model for a joint medical-adult use program in New Mexico and that is very serious fatal flaw that will devastate New Mexico’s medical cannabis program. Using the state’s medical cannabis program for a recreational cannabis law is ethically wrong to be doing. And there is a very good reason why no other state has that model, as it will ruin any medical cannabis program in any state because it is a system of regulation being built on the backs of current medical cannabis laws.

Another way to look at this adequate supply issue would be in terms of chile, would the chile farmers in our state be able to meet demand for everyone if they were all only limited to growing 40,000 chile plants?”

AMEND CANNABIS REGULATION ACT

“The Cannabis Regulation Act needs to be amended with its own set of producers licensed separately for growing cannabis and its own separate plant count and its own separate dispensary system.

Also consider this: In other states with medical cannabis programs, after recreational cannabis legalization, ALL of those state medical cannabis programs have suffered … legalization has not benefited any states medical cannabis program to date. Even our neighbor to the north, in Colorado’s medical cannabis program has seen over a 19% decline in participation in recent years. And in Illinois in 2020, after only two weeks of recreational cannabis sales, medical cannabis patients started facing shortages for their medicine that could last more than six months.”

RECREATIONAL CANNABIS NEEDS A SPECIAL SESSION

“Lawmakers can defer recreational cannabis to a special session in the fall of 2020, if the proponents are right about the financial gains for the state then recreational cannabis sales will easily cover the state’s cost at doing the special session for legalization.

New Mexico needs to fix the medical cannabis program before passing a recreational cannabis law, period.”

RESPECTFULLY

Jason Barker

__________________________

POSTSCRIPT

BELOW ARE LINKS FOR RELATED NEWS ARTICLES:

‘Dad pleads for medical cannabis’ | Friday, November 22nd, 2019 | ABQ Journal

https://www.abqjournal.com/1394537/dad-pleads-for-medical-cannabis.html
“New Mexico as it stands just does not have the logistics for recreation, said Chad Lozano, secretary of the New Mexico Medical Cannabis Patients Advocate Alliance.”
‘Medical cannabis experts caution against New Mexico’s push to legalize recreationally’ | ABC 7 KVIA |

https://kvia.com/news/2019/12/23/medical-cannabis-experts-caution-against-new-mexicos-push-to-legalize-recreationally/
‘Medical marijuana users struggle to keep up with costs’ | Nov. 2019 | ABQ Journal |

https://www.abqjournal.com/1386640/medical-marijuana-users-struggle-to-keep-up-with-costs.html

‘Mixed responses to suggestions from marijuana legalization work group’ | NM Political Report |

https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2019/10/17/mixed-responses-to-suggestions-from-legalization-work-group/

LINKS TO RELATED BLOG ARTICLES

Recreational Cannabis Bill Introduced; Endorsed By Governor MLG; Commentary By John Strong: Bill Does Not Address One Very Big Problem

NM Legislature Should Avoid Traditional Licensing Of Recreational Cannabis Based On Population; “Let Supply And Demand” Market Forces Decide

“Recreational Pot” Task Force Report Long On Recommendations, Short On Legislation; Legalizing Recreational Pot Far From Certain

On August 29, 2019, Santa Fe District Judge Bryan Biedscheid ruled that New Mexico must allow non-residents to participate in its medical cannabis program. The court ruling centers on amendments made to the medical cannabis law by the 2019 New Mexico Legislature and which Governor Lujan Grisham signed into law. The changes took effect on July 1, 2019. The legislature changed the definition of “qualified patient” by removing a requirement that an enrolled member of the medical cannabis program must be a New Mexico resident. According to the court’s ruling the language of the amended medical cannabis statute is clear.

In his ruling, Judge Biedscheid said

“This statute, plainly and unambiguously, does away with the requirement of residence of the state of New Mexico. … it does not allow the Department of Health to withhold identification cards to qualifying patients who live outside of New Mexico. … Continuing to insist on a showing of residence for eligibility in the program, when that has been taken out by the Legislature, is not appropriate.”

Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham strongly criticized the ruling saying the state would appeal the decision by issuing the following statement:

“We remain of the opinion that New Mexico’s medical cannabis program should not be bulldozed by an out-of-state litigant operating with his own financial interests at heart rather than those of the state’s medical program or of the many New Mexicans who depend upon it … [The ruling] contradicts both the intent of the legislative sponsor and the interpretation of the New Mexico Department of Health … and the state plans to appeal the decision.”

According to the New Mexico Department of health, there are 80,257 patients enrolled in New Mexico’s medical cannabis program as of last month with 421 out-of-state residents have enrolled. Most of the out of state residents are from Texas.

The Plaintiffs’ attorney suing the state on behalf Ultra Health LLC, a prominent licensed medical cannabis producer and its President Duke Rodriquez, is New Mexico Speaker of the House Brian Egolf, a prominent Santa Fe trial attorney. Speaker Egolf voted for the original amendments in the 2019 legislature and then challenged the legislation in court.

AMENDMENT TO LAW PROPOSED

The 2020 New Mexico legislature began on January 21, 2020, and with its start came the introduction of Senate Bill 139 sponsored by Democrat NM State Senator Gerald Ortis y Pino. The legislation is intended to correct the state law to prohibit out of state residents from obtaining medical cannabis cards and to require “in state residency”. According to Senator Ortiz y Pino:

“The whole intent from Day One was not to throw it open” .

Not surprising, Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham is backing the proposed “fix” to the state’s medical marijuana laws and has added it to the call agenda. Lujan Grisham spokesman Tripp Stelnicki said that if the bill wins approval, these out-of-state individuals who enrolled after the judge’s ruling will get to keep accessing medical marijuana in New Mexico until their one-year medical cannabis cards expire and they will not be allowed to renew the identification cards.

Last year’s bill permits reciprocity between New Mexico and other states with similar programs. If Senate Bill 139 passes, the reciprocity would not be affected. Further, the state is still appealing last year’s ruling by District Judge Bryan Biedscheid and the Court of Appeals has yet to take action on the appeal.

OPPOSTION TO CHANGE

Duke Rodriguez, president and CEO of Ultra Health LLC, the cannabis producer that sued the state last year, said the Lujan Grisham administration’s stance on the issue makes no sense. Rodriquez argued many of the out-of-state residents who have enrolled in New Mexico’s medical pot program either work or live part time in the state. Rodriguez pointed out that the proposal to legalize recreational cannabis would not limit use to New Mexicans, but would allow anyone ages 21 or older to purchase marijuana from licensed dispensaries.

“It makes no logical sense why they should … [punish out of state residents] We continue to be totally confused about justifying the logic for protecting the medical program.”

https://www.abqjournal.com/1412480/gov-backs-fix-for-medical-pot-law.html

SPEAKER EGOLF CHALLENGED FOR RE ELECTION

On December 10, 2019, the Santa Fe New Mexican reported that a New Mexico climate activist with Navajo roots plans to challenge state House Speaker Brian Egolf for his seat in 2020. Lyla June Johnston, a Stanford-educated climate activist whose social media presence swelled during the Dakota Access Pipeline protests, plans to take on incumbent Egolf, one of the most powerful Democrats in New Mexico politics. Johnston said that she intends to focus her campaign on environmental issues and criticized Egolf and other Democratic leadership for not doing enough to decrease greenhouse gas emissions in the oil-rich Permian Basin and had this to say:

“Of course [Democratic leadership are] telling us that we need oil revenue to fund our children’s education, but fossil fuel extraction destroys the future of those very same children … We’re educating them for a future they’re not gonna see. And that’s how I know a lot of our leadership is insincere”

Johnston earned a degree in environmental anthropology from Stanford and is now pursuing her Ph.D. in sustainable food systems online from the University of Alaska Fairbanks. She works as a community organizer in Santa Fe.

https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/legislature/climate-activist-challenges-new-mexico-house-speaker/article_f2894c08-1b96-11ea-a56f-5ffb4ac5c685.html

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

It is more likely than not that Senate Bill 139 will be passed by the New Mexico Senate and referred to the New Mexico House for passage. It is also highly likely that the legislation will pass, become law and sent on to the Governor for her signature. If the law does indeed become law, it will render the state’s appeal moot and the case would be dismissed. What is not at all certain is what will Speaker of the House Brian Egolf do with the legislation.

Last year’s Santa Fe District Court State ruling came as no surprise to anyone in the legal community given the language, or lack of clarifying language, in the medical cannabis statute. What did come as an absolute surprise and raised more than a few eyebrows in the legal community was when the Plaintiffs’ attorney suing the state was the New Mexico Speaker of the House Brian Egolf, who also voted for the amendments to the law last year.

Speaker Egolf representing the Plaintiff in the case against the State on a law he voted for raised more than a few questions of “conflict of interest” and the “appearance of impropriety”, at least in the court of public perception and public opinion. Speaker Egolf strenuously objected to the criticism, especially to that leveled against him by the Albuquerque Journal. Egolf proclaimed that there was no conflict and that he has a right to make a living as and attorney given New Mexico’s citizen legislature.

A remarkable exchange occurred between the Albuquerque Journal when it editorialized and Speaker Egolf responded to the Journal. It is obvious there is no love shared between the Albuquerque Journal and Speaker of the House Brian Egolf.

You can view both the Albuquerque Journal Editorial and the Speaker’s response at these links:

https://www.abqjournal.com/1372801/speakers-work-on-medical-marijuana-suit-raises-concerns.html

https://www.abqjournal.com/1374952/editorial-all-medical-pot-smoke-no-fire.htm

Speaker Egolf now has a major problem with the introduction of Senate Bill 139, a problem he created himself. Speaker Egolf will now be forced to decide does he vote to amend the statute to include Mew Mexico residency or does he take the position of his client and oppose it?

With the New Ethics Commission up and running, Egolf needs to be extremely cautious in the event Senate Bill 139 (SB 139) passes the Senate and is forwarded to the House. Egolf needs to secure an advisory opinion from the New Mexico Ethics Commission as to what he can or cannot do with respect to SB 139 in his capacity as Speaker of the House.

Until an advisory opinion is issued by the Ethics Commission, Speaker Egolf would be wise not to make House Committee referrals or even vote on SB 139. Another problem for the Speaker is that he now has opposition within the Democratic Party as he seeks another term. What he does with Senate Bill 139 will no doubt surface in the campaign that just may be too close for comfort and perhaps even end his political career as Speaker of the House.

Speaker Of The House Egolf Makes A Living Raising A Few Eyebrows; Gov. MLG Should Seek Amending Medical Cannabis Law

On January 21, 2019, the 30-day New Mexico Legislature began, with New Mexico Governor Mitchell Lujan Grisham giving her second State of the State address to a joint session of the New Mexico House and Senate. Thirty-day sessions are limited to budgetary matters and issues approved for consideration and placed on what is referred to as the “Governor’s Call” or “Governor’s Message”.

In her opening remarks, the Governor proclaimed:

“The state of our state is dynamic, ready for more, on the cusp of steady and sustainable progress. … We are stronger today than we were one year ago, no question.”

The Governor touted economic statistics in support of her statement that the State is stronger today than one year ago. According to the Governor, New Mexico is number 8 nationally in job growth and had its best year for job growth since 2005, with 15,000 new jobs since the beginning of 2019.

THE GOVERNOR’S PRIORITIES

In addition to enactment of a $7.5 billion dollar balance budget, the Governor outlined the following priorities:

PERA PENSION SYSTEM

The Governor supports overhauling the state pension system for government workers known the Public Employees Retirement Association (PERA). She proposed a $76 million infusion of cash to help the state’s chronically underfunded PERA and agrees with the major changes proposed by the legislature.

For the 2020 legislative session, Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham has endorsed a complex proposal to overhaul New Mexico’s chronically underfunded PERA proposed by Democratic legislative leaders. The proposal builds on the work of a PERA task force established by the governor with some major changes. The most controversial recommendations by her task force involved the 2% cost of living (COLA) currently guaranteed to all retirees. According to media reports, the legislation will establish a “profit-sharing” model for the annual cost-of-living adjustments that most retirees now receive. Rather than an automatic 2% increase in their pensions each year, the actual amount would fluctuate, anywhere from 0.5% to 3%, depending on investment returns.

Under the proposed legislation, government employers and employees will pay more into the system with a schedule that phases in higher contributions. Other changes will help retirees who are older than 75, disabled or receiving pensions of less than $25,000 a year, despite 25 years of service. With respect to annual cost-of-living adjustments, they would be increased by half a percentage point to 2.5% for retirees who are 75 or older. This was a change made after requested by Governor Lujan Grisham.

Under the proposed legislation, many retirees would receive a temporary reduction in their cost-of-living increases. For 3 years, retirees would get an extra check equal to 2% of their pension. Such a “one lump” sum payment in one check would eliminate the compounding effect of having each 2% build on the previous 2% increase.

PUBLIC EDUCATION

When it comes to education, for a second year, the Governor wants to increase teacher pay again, extend learning time for students and investing in a new early childhood trust fund to help pay for prekindergarten and other services.

The Governor’s proposed budget is close to $7.7 billion and includes a proposed 4% salary increase for New Mexico teachers and more money for school districts with a large number of “at risk” students. This includes the most significant back-to-back raises for educators in over a decade and increases in whole-child education, bilingual and multicultural frameworks, community schools, and STEAM education program. The proposed budget contains $200.3 million increase in the public-school budgets.

COLLEGE EDUCATION

The Governor proposed building a new scholarship program that provides tuition-free college to residents of New Mexico. The scholarship program has been looked upon with some skepticism by legislators.

The Governor wants to create a “New Mexico Opportunity Scholarship” that would benefit an estimated 55,000 college students and expand funding for child-care assistance and pre-Kindergarten programs statewide. The “Opportunity Scholarship” will cover the cost of tuition for students enrolled at New Mexico colleges and universities are expected to cost $25 million to $35 million. The scholarships offered will be aimed at covering the remaining gap for students after other awards and scholarships, including New Mexico’s lottery program scholarships or other sources.

RECREATIONAL MARIJUANA

The Governor proposed legalizing recreational marijuana to help diversify New Mexico’s economy, embracing recommendation made by her working group of legalization of recreational cannabis established last year. On September 10, 2019, the Governor’s task force endorsed and recommended a traditional licensing system for private companies that would grow and sell marijuana. The state would not operate retail stores. The licensing system is the same system as used for the State’s medical cannabis program. The proposal is a complete shift from the legislation that advanced through the state House last session where Democratic lawmakers embraced the idea of state-run cannabis stores as a part of a compromise with Republicans.

NEW MEXICO HEALTH CARE

The Governor wants to improving New Mexico’s health care system by capping copays in some cases and importing prescription medicine wholesale from Canada. The Wholesale Prescription Drug Importation Act (SB 1) has been added to the Governor’s call and would create an office of wholesale drug importation at the Department of Health where officials would create a plan to import certain prescription drugs from Canada. Only those drugs that will result in substantial saving be imported. The federal officials have to approve the plan first.

https://www.kob.com/new-mexico-news/gov-adds-bill-that-would-allow-prescription-drug-importation-to-her-call-list/5620123/?cat=500

PUBLIC SAFETY

With respect to the public safety, the Governor embraced toughing penalties for human-trafficking, drug-trafficking and gun-trafficking. She announced and expanding the State Police force by 60 officers. She also said she wants a new law to target “people who terrorize New Mexicans with threats of mass violence.”

HELPING HAND TO NEW MEXICO SENIORS

The Governor announced she wants to have funded a “Senior Dignity Fund” to help pay for transportation, food and other necessities for needy seniors and adults with disabilities. She is proposing funding of $25 million “

“RED FLAG” LAW CONSPICUOUSLY ABSENT

On January 8, in a press conference widely covered by the media, the Governor endorsed a “red flag” law. Under the proposed law a law enforcement officer or family member requesting an extreme-risk protection order would provide a sworn affidavit explaining in detail the facts and circumstance as to why the order is needed against a person. A judge could then issue a 15-day emergency order to seize the weapons and ammunition from that person and would schedule a hearing to determine if there was a need for a one-year order. When the court order expires, the guns and ammunition would then be returned to the individual.

During her 47-minute speech, the Governor made no mention of the “red flag” law signaling that it may no longer be on her call for the session.

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

The 2020 New Mexico Legislative is Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham’s second legislative session, but she has been through sessions before as a cabinet secretary, knows the drill and knows how to count votes. In her second State of the State address, Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham has indeed announced an ambitious agenda that is still very much evolving, subject to constant change and that no doubt will include much more.

One thing is for certain, the governor’s agenda can be considered ambitious for a 30-day session. No doubt it will be hectic for all legislators. Notwithstanding, the 2020 legislative session will be made much easier because of the oil boom that has propelled New Mexico’s government revenue to record highs. The record surplus should allow the Governor and legislature to fund all the education programs, invest in capital projects and infrastructure as well as shore up the PERA pension funds, but no doubt the legislature will use extreme caution in the funding programs/

FOR RELATED BLOG ARTICLES SEE

Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham Announces Long Anticipated 2020 Legislative Agenda For Session That Begins January 21, 2020; Committee Work Has Already Begun

Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham Proposes $7.68 Billion Dollar Budget; LFC Releases Own Budget; Children And Education Once Again Biggest Priorities

In the United States, an estimated 16,214 people were murdered in 2018. This was a decrease from the 2017 murder estimates.

ALBUQUERQUE RANKS #40 FOR MURDERS IN TOP 65 MAJOR CITIES

On January 20, 2020 NBC News did a story on the murder rates of the 65 major cities having greater than 100,000 residents and listing them as the top deadliest cities in the United States. Albuquerque Ranked number 40 out of the 65 cities listed. According to the report, Albuquerque has 12.3 murders per 100,000 residents.

The top 10 deadliest cities for murder in 2018 are listed as follows:

1.St. Louis, Missouri: 60.9 murders per 100,000 residents
2.Baltimore Maryland: 51 murders per 100,000 residents
3.Detroit, Michigan: 38.9 murders per 100,000 residents
4.New Orleans, Louisiana: 37.1 murders per 100,000 residents
5.Baton Rouge, Louisiana: 35.1 murders per 100,000 residents
6.Memphis, Tennessee: 28.5 murders per 100,000 residents
7.Dayton, Ohio: 26.4 murders per 100,000 residents
8.Shreveport, Louisiana: 25 murders per 100,000 residents
9.West Palm Beach, Florida: 24.2 murders per 100,000 residents
10.Washington, DC: 22.8 murders per 100,000 residents

Other notable cities in the top 40 of the 65 cities include the following:

14. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: 22.1 murders per 100,000 residents
15. Buffalo, New York: 22.1 murders per 100,000 residents
16. Chicago, Illinois: 20.7 murders per 100,000 residents
20. Cincinnati, Ohio: 18.9 murders per 100,000 residents
34. Rochester, NY: 14 murders per 100,000 residents
35. Orlando, Florida: 13.6 murders per 100,000 residents
37. Fort Wayne, Indiana: 14.9 murders per 100,000 residents
40. Albuquerque, New Mexico: 12.3 murders per 100,000 residents

You can review the entire list of 65 citys here:

https://www.cbsnews.com/pictures/murder-map-deadliest-u-s-cities/2/

It is likely that Albuquerque has gone up in the ranking as a result of the historical number of murders that occurred in 2019.

Albuquerque’s FBI Uniform Crime statistics for the years 2008 to 2018 reveal just how bad violent crime has increased in Albuquerque over the last 10 years. Violent crimes include murder, rape, robbery and aggravated assaults and have all increased. The hard numbers for the last 10 years reflect that crime has not declined much and that like a waive on a beach, it had “ebbed and flowed” over the years but have risen none the less to all-time highs.

APD CLEARANCE RATE LOWEST IN 10 YEARS

The number of murders reported each year from 2008 to 2019 are:

2008: 38
2009: 56
2010: 42
2011: 35
2012: 41
2013: 34
2014: 30
2015: 42
2016: 61
2017: 72
2018: 65
2019: 82

On December 31, the Albuquerque Police Department (APD) officially recorded the 82 homicide for the city, an all-time record. It was on December 9, 2019, the city recorded its 74th homicide breaking the previous record of 72 murders set in 2017. Before 2017, the last time the City had the highest number of homicides in one year was in 1996 with 70 murders. In addition to the 82 homicides in 2019, APD Homicide detectives are also working on a back log of active cases from previous years.

The 2019 murder victims include a high school student at a high school party, a Navy veteran who was shot and killed outside a Central Grill by someone trying to steal his bike, a UNM college baseball player killed outside a popular restaurant and bar, and the mother of two New Mexico State Police officers who was shot and killed in her car parked in her driveway as she was getting ready to go to the gym.

On January 1, 2020, APD reported the first homicide of the year. So far, the city has had 4 homicides in 20 days that APD is investigating.

According to a January 20 Channel 7 news report, APD’s homicide unit has solved 43 out of the 82 of the murder cases or 52.4%, 39 cases remain unsolved or 47.6% with 37 arrests made in the murders committed in 2019.

https://www.koat.com/article/apd-investigating-dozens-of-unsolved-2019-homicides/30602071

The homicide clearance percentage has been in the 50%-60% range for the past two years. According to the proposed 2018-2019 APD City Budget, in 2016 the APD homicide clearance rate was 80%. In 2017 the clearance rate was 70% and the clearance rate for 2018 was 56%. The clearance rate for 2019 is now at 52.5%, the lowest clearance rate in the last decade.

https://www.abqjournal.com/1405615/apd-reports-record-82-homicides-for-2019.html

A STABBING TOO CLOSE TO HOME

During the beginning of my 42 years of practicing law, I began as a narcotics prosecutor with the New Mexico Attorney General’s Office. I was later employed as an Assistant District Attorney and assigned to the Violent Crimes Division of the Bernalillo County District Attorney’s Office working for then Republican District Attorney Steve Schiff who later became our Congressman. Years later, I became Chief Deputy District Attorney appointed by then Democrat District Attorney Jeff Romero with supervisor authority over the Violent Crimes Division. I have indicted and tried murder cases and know the importance of evidence gathering to prove a case and to get a conviction. My family has lived in City Council District 7, formerly District 5, since 1979, my wife and I raised a family and now we are fully retired. We have lived in the same home since 1989. Our area of the City now has some the highest crime rates for home break-ins and recently a murder occurred down the street in an apartment complex.

During his January 21, 2020 interview with Channel 7, Mayor Tim Keller had this to say:

“When it comes to homicide, I know there’s real frustration, and actually we feel it too, having my own family. … And I know what it feels like to not feel safe, even in the place where you worship or where our kids go to school.”

On Friday, October 31, 2019, my wife and I returned home around 8:30 pm at night and saw a number of APD vehicles down the street with their flashing lights on and with yellow “crime scene tape” used to cordon off the street and the area. The next day at approximately 11:00 am, I left my home and saw a “Univision” TV reporter, who I knew, at the scene taking footage. I stopped and asked him what was going on and he said the night before a stabbing occurred, the suspect was reported running north on the street towards my home, the victim was a neighbor and a retired police officer and was in critical condition. The neighbor apparently was trying to run off someone in the area, had gotten into an altercation and that person pulled a knife on him.

I got out of my car and as I was talking to the reporter, we both noticed blood on the sidewalk, a small pool of blood in the gutter and a number of very large blood spots in the street. As I began to look around, I discovered a red rag that obviously had a large amount of blood on it. For about 15 minutes I attempted to call 242-COPS, the APD Spokesperson and even Mayor Keller and got no answer. During this time, one of the business owners in the area showed up and said he had just talked to an APD Detective investigating the stabbing. I was given the Detectives number and I also tried to contact the Detective by phone and left a message.

By sure coincidence, two plain clothes APD Detectives showed up doing follow up investigation from the night before. They were shown the blood on the street and sidewalk as well as the rag with blood. I told one of the Detectives, that I felt the bloody rag should be collected, tagged into evidence and processed. The Detective responded immediately that it was not necessary to do that in that they knew whose blood it was. I tersely said, “no you do not know whose blood it is” and he quickly said I was right. I then requested that the rag be collected, tagged into evidence and processed. The Detective agreed and said he would call someone to do just that. I gave the Detective my business card but never heard from him with any kind of follow up. I did take photos on my cell phone of the blood in the street, sidewalk and the bloody rag.

There were three major concerns about the APD’s detective conduct:

1. Why was the bloody rag not collected and tagged into evidence the night before and why would any detective presume APD knew whose blood was on the rag? The blood on the rag could have belong to the suspect or for that matter another victim. The bloody rag needed to be tagged into evidence and processed to see if it is connected to the stabbing.

2. Were any samples of the fresh blood in the street or on the sidewalk taken for processing and identification?

3. Given the amount of blood in the streets and on the sidewalk, why was the Albuquerque Fire and Rescue Hazmat not called out to disinfect the area or at least to wash off the blood on the sidewalk and in the street? To my understanding this is APD standard operating procedure when dealing with blood in the public area and this has not changed. There are children in the area and if the blood was contaminated it would have been a health risk.

The Mayor and the Chief were emailed and notified of what happened, but they never responded personally. However,an APD’s spokesman responded to the email and said the bloody rag was indeed tagged into evidence and stated Albuquerque Fire and Rescue had been called out to wash off the blood the evening of the incident, but never showed up. No information was given as to why nor as to the condition of my neighbor

Violent crime prosecutors know the importance of APD being thorough in the collection of evidence, especially blood evidence, that can make or break a case. Relevance of such evidence needs to be decided by judges, prosecutors and defense attorneys, not sworn police whose job is to collect evidence and not decide what is relevant.

What happened at the crime scene near my home has way too many similarities identical to the bloody underwear of a 9-year-old child found by one of the child’s teachers who tried to turn the evidence over to APD and the evidence was tossed by APD instead.

CHIEF GEIER SAYS “GENERALLY IT’S A SAFE CITY”

On January 16, KOB 4’s news anchor Steve Soliz sat down with Albuquerque Police Chief Mike Geier to see what APD is doing to tackle the city’s crime crisis. The interview is part of a series of stories by Channel 4 to cover the city’s crime problem and to ask our leaders what is being done. The link to the channel 4 interview is here:

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/1-on-1-with-apd-chief-mike-geier/5612682/?cat=500

Instead of expressing any kind of outrage and showing no kind of real emotion or frustration and saying what he is doing, we have a police chief in a very quiet, meek voice and in a “matter of fact manner” say APD is doing all it can with the resources it has and saying some progress has been made with auto thefts.

The real jaw dropper was when Cheif Geier was asked what he would say to someone who has concerns for the city, who has lived here for some time and who feels the city is no longer the city they once knew. Geier said he would tell them “Generally, its a safe city” and went on to say all the crime is being done in certain “pockets” of the city that are targeted. He said APD is making an effort with the limited resources it has, but saying that is no excuse, but sounding like it was an excuse.

SIX VIOLENT CRIME INITIATIVES ANNOUNCED IN 10 MONTHS

On December 18, 2019 US Attorney General William Barr announced that the Department of Justice (DOJ) is initiating a major crackdown aimed at driving down violent crime in 7 of the nation’s most violent cities in the country. He named the initiative “Operation Relentless Pursuit”. Not at all surprising is that Albuquerque is one of those cities. The other 6 cities are Detroit, Baltimore, Cleveland, Kansas City, Memphis and Milwaukee. All 7 cities have violent crime rates significantly higher and above the national average.

The federal agencies that will participate and be involved are the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) and the U.S. Marshals Service. The DOJ will intensify federal law enforcement resources in the 7 cities by increasing the number of federal law enforcement officers in each of the cities and add additional officers to federal task forces. According to Barr, the DOJ is committing up to $71 million in federal grant funds that can help fund the task forces, be used to hire new police officers, pay overtime and purchase new equipment and technology.

According to Attorney General William Bar, Albuquerque has a violent crime rate that is 3.7 times the national average per capita , and the cities aggravated assaults are 4 times the national average per capita.

Mayor Keller and Chief Michael Geier have announced 5 separate programs within 10 months to combat our city’s violent crime and murder rates. Four programs announced last year are: the Shield Unit, Declaring Violent Crime “public health” issue, “Violence Intervention Plan” (VIP) and the Metro 15, yet Chief Geier says “Generally, it’s a safe city”. On January 20, 2020, Mayor Keller announced yet another anti-crime initiative called RAPID accountability program.

APD WORKING ON LONG TERM SOLUTIONS

Albuquerque Police Department (APD) are saying they are working on new strategies to ease the workload on APD sworn officers and homicide detectives. During an October, 2019 City Council meeting, APD Commander of Criminal Investigations Joe Burke had this to say:

“I would say in the long term if I was looking at a long-term solution—I believe we need two homicide units. I think the best practices around the nation normally have two homicide units. Detectives should be balancing between three to five investigations and we’re nearly double that. … We absolutely need detectives in criminal investigations. …
I was happy when I went over at the end of July and was briefed on the status of the unit that there’s a plan in place within the executive staff that when cadets are graduating from the academy that we’re going to get a certain percentage specifically for the criminal investigations bureau.”

https://www.kob.com/albuquerque-news/city-officials-look-for-solutions-to-ease-workload-on-apd-officers-homicide-detectives/5594211/?cat=500

STRUGGLING TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE WITH LITTLE PROGRESS

Since Mayor Tim Keller took office on December 1, 2017, APD has added 116 sworn police officers to the force. Keller wants to spend $88 million dollars over a four-year period, with 32 million dollars of recurring expenditures, to hire 322 sworn officers and expand APD from 878 sworn police officers to 1,200 officers.

The massive investment is being done to full fill Mayor Tim Keller’s 2017 campaign promise to increase the size of APD and return to community-based policing as a means to reduce the city’s high crime rates. Last year’s 2018-2019 fiscal year budget provided for increasing APD funding from 1,000 sworn police to 1,040. This year’s 2019-2020 fiscal year budget has funding for 1,040 sworn police.

Mayor Tim Keller and APD Chief Michael Geier have increased the homicide unit from 5 to 11. This is the most detectives they’ve had in the unit in more than 20 years. There are now 10 detectives with one opening and one sergeant.

Burke acknowledged that the clearance rate is unacceptable and nowhere near where they want to be in solving all the murders by saying:

“It is a high number [of unsolved cases] and we recognize that. … We always want to be at 100% and anything less is unacceptable. … We need help from the community. We need witnesses. We need people who potentially have information for us so we can follow up and help solve some of these homicides and hold people accountable. … Just know that we have leads [on the two recent murders] and we’re following up on those leads. They’re good leads. We’re confident we’re going to be able to hold people accountable in those investigations.”

https://www.krqe.com/news/crime/albuquerque-police-51-of-2019-homicides-still-unsolved/?fbclid=IwAR1pL4J0EGCOLGGvOaLt9G7fTkgX4UDQKwEb07Dk2voyLQRUusjkoKt5ilU

APD command staff have said it would be ideal to have more homicide detectives to solve cases. APD is also trying to expand other units for gang operations and a gun violence reduction unit. A new cadet class is expected to graduate in spring 2020 with upwards of 50 new sworn police. Mayor Keller has said that APD is on track to have 100 new sworn in 2020.

HISTORY OF BOTCHED HOMICIDE INVESTIGATIONS

The APD Homicide Unit has a dubious history of botching any number of high-profile murder investigations. The APD Homicide Unit has compiled a history of not doing complete investigations, misleading the public, feeding confessions to people with low IQs, getting investigations completely wrong and even arresting innocent people.

The most egregious negligent murder investigation was the murder investigation of 10-year-old Victoria Martens. On August 24, 2016, she was murdered, dismembered and her body was burned in a bathtub. After a full year of 3 defendants being in custody, further investigation revealed that Jessica Kelley did not murder the child. Michelle Martens falsely admitted to committing the crimes. Forensic evidence revealed she and her boyfriend Fabian Gonzales were not even in the apartment at the time of the murder, they did not participate in the murder and that there was an unidentified 4th suspect in the case who committed the murder with supposedly DNA evidence found on the child’s dead body. The unidentified 4th suspect in the case is still at large.

The most recent botched homicide investigation was when on December 5, 17-year-old Albuquerque High School Student Gisell Estrada was arrested and charged with a murder she played no part in. She was never arrested before and had absolutely no criminal record of arrest and conviction of any crime, misdemeanor nor felony. She spent 6 full days in jail on a case of “mistaken identity.”

YOU CAN LEAD A HORSE TO WATER

Sources have confirmed that the firm “Law Enforcement Training and Consulting Services” were retained in the summer of 2019 year on a three-month, sole source contract for $75,000 to train the APD homicide unit on investigations, evidence gathering and follow-up. All APD sergeants, detectives and lieutenants, who investigate and supervise violent crime investigations, were given the training. A total of 126 APD personnel went through and completed the training and instructions provided by a former retired APD homicide detective now with “Law Enforcement Training and Consulting Services”. The former APD Detective has been involved with investigations of high profile murder cases in the country.

Law Enforcement Training and Consulting Services reviewed the arrest warrant regarding the 17-year-old high school girl Gisell Estrada arrested and jailed for a murder she did not commit because of a case of mistaken identity by the APD Homicide unit. Law Enforcement Training and Consulting Services concluded it went against everything APD officers had been trained on.

The firm stated they could provide no reason why the homicide division made such “colossal” mistakes contrary to all they had been trained and the arrest could have been prevented had the detective followed basic follow up practices to confirm identity. Instead, the detective ran with the information he had without even an attempt to verify, either out of being lazy or incompetence.
Mayor Tim Keller and Chief Michael Geier have yet to announce and personnel action against the investigating officer.

UPDATE ON HOMICIDE CLEARANCE RATE

On Sunday, February 23rd, 2020, it was reported that although there has been a dramatic surge in the number of homicides, the percentage of those solved by arrest has dropped significantly. In 2019, the city reached a historical 82 homicides compared to 30 in 2014.

According to APD spokesman Gilbert Gallegos the homicide unit has 11 detectives and one sergeant. In 2017, APD had 5 detective and one sergeant. APD officials claim that the homicides are being vigorously investigated and detectives are following numerous leads. However, APD does not maintain collective data to show how many murders over the years have gone unsolved. As for caseloads, some APD homicide detectives have fewer than 10 cases each. According to APD spokesman Gilbert Gallegos

“Others with the most years in homicide may have more than 20, which includes cases that may be three, four or five years old and awaiting new leads. ” Gallegos stated.
The city’s APD yearly budget contains performance evaluation statistics mandated by the city’s “performance evaluation” based budget. According to city budget documents, APD’s homicide clearance rate as reported in the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report, was around 80% from fiscal year 2009 to fiscal year 2016. In each of the last two calendar years, the percentage of homicides solved in the city dropped to about 50%, according to APD data. That number reflects homicides that weren’t deemed justifiable. The overall clearance rate for 2018 and 2019 was is higher because detectives solved nine homicides from prior years.

APD maintains a website showing “Active Homicide Investigations.” But the website lists just 25 cases, which occurred from January 2018 to August 2018.

https://www.abqjournal.com/1423578/more-murders-fewer-cases-cleared.html

COMMENTARY AND ANALYSIS

Mayor Keller, this city is long past feeling a sense of “frustration” as you put it, but is feeling downright anger because this is no longer a safe city, even though your police chief says “generally it’s a safe city”. You are probably a lot safer than the citizens you represent given the APD police detail that follows you everywhere you go. As Mayor, I suggest you get angry with your appointed command staff in that they are not getting the job done. The city is not even the city it was 10 years ago with our skyrocketing and out of control crime rates, something you pledged to bring down during your 18-month campaign for Mayor.

Mayor Tim Keller for the last two years has been given essentially everything he has asked for from city council for public safety – and then some. What is very troubling is that all the increases in APD budget, personnel and new programs are having no effect on bringing down the violent crime and murder rates. It is no longer an issue of not having the money, personnel or resources, but of a failed personnel resource management issue.

With a 52.4% clearance rate and a backlog of cases, the Keller Administration needs to increase the Homicide Unit significantly more than by 5 to 11, especially when the commander in charge of the unit is saying two separate units are needed. The longer a homicide case takes to complete an investigation or is neglected because of lack of personnel, the less likely the cases will be solved and prosecuted. Adding to the crisis is the emotional toll an unsolved murder takes on the families of the victims.

Given the sure number of homicides and the pathetic homicide clearance rate, the Homicide Investigation Unit needs to be increased by at least another 5 detectives for a total of 16 detectives, with two separate units of 8, one for the most current homicides and the second for older back logged cases. Further, given the units low clearance rate and past performance, more needs to be done with respect to recruiting and doubling down on training.

APD is in a crisis mode and it needs to concentrate on recruiting seasoned homicide detectives from other departments if necessary. The New Mexico State Police and the Bernalillo County Sherriff’s office needs to be solicited for help to assign some it personnel to APD for homicide investigation.

Mayor Tim Keller and APD Chief Michael Geier need to recognize the fiasco the APD homicide unit has become. APD saying it is “still working on a long-term solution” is no longer acceptable.

______________________________________

POSCRIPT:

When it comes to murders, the State of New Mexico is not doing much better than the City.

NEW MEXICO RANKS #7 NATIONALLY FOR MURDER

A July 16, 2019, USA Today report found that in 2018, the State of New Mexico ranked #7 of the states for murder with 7.1 murders per 100,000 residents. The state had the second highest violent crime rate at 783.5 per 100,000 residents. The states incarceration rate was 344 per 100,000 residents, the 22nd lowest and in 2018 an unemployment rate of 4.9%, the 3rd highest in the country

According to the USA Report:

“Along with Alaska, New Mexico is the only other state where violent crimes are over twice as common as they are nationwide. There were 783.5 reported incidents of violent crime for every 100,000 people in the state in 2017 compared to 382.9 per 100,000 nationwide. Other types of crime classified as property crimes are also common in the state. For example, New Mexico tops the list of states with the most break ins. Crime is often more common in areas with limited economic opportunity. In New Mexico, 4.9% of the labor force was out of work in 2018, the third highest unemployment rate among states, trailing only Alaska and West Virginia.”

You can read the full report on all states here:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2019/07/16/americas-most-violent-and-peaceful-states/39672421/

For related blog articles see:

“Generally, It’s A Safe City” According To APD Chief Michael Geier; Commentary: Like Hell It Is!

All Time Low APD Clearance Rate; Charging And Jailing An Innocent Child For Murder; Can Lead Homicide Unit To Water But Refused To Be Trained